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United States Quick Commerce - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026-2031)

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    Report

  • 148 Pages
  • May 2026
  • Region: United States
  • Mordor Intelligence
  • ID: 6248139
The united states quick commerce market was valued at USD 62.10 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 66.24 billion in 2026 to reach USD 91.48 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 6.67% during the forecast period (2026-2031). This report is Segmented by Product Category (Grocery and Staples, Fresh Produce and Dairy, Snacks and Beverages, Personal Care and OTC Pharma, Home and Cleaning Supplies, Electronics and Accessories, Pet Care, Flowers and Gifts, and More), and Delivery Time Promise (Less Than 10 Minutes, 11-30 Minutes, and 31-60 Minutes and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

United States Quick Commerce Market Trends and Insights

Rising Millennial and Gen Z Preference for Instant Gratification

The United States quick commerce market continues to benefit from a broad shift in consumer behavior toward shorter delivery windows and higher service expectations. Younger urban shoppers now expect routine purchases to arrive with little delay, especially when the order includes groceries, personal care items, and other household items needed the same day. That change is evident in actual order behavior: Amazon stated that Prime members in the United States received more than 8 billion same-day or next-day items in 2025, and groceries and everyday essentials accounted for half of that volume. This creates a stricter service benchmark for the United States' quick commerce market, as speed failures can directly lead to switching behavior in categories with low loyalty barriers. It also raises the value of live order tracking, accurate delivery windows, and simple reorder flows, which help operators hold repeat users even when pricing stays tight. The result is that fulfillment consistency matters as much as assortment depth when platforms compete for younger consumers in the United States quick commerce market.

Expanding Dark-Store Networks Across Major Metros

The United States quick commerce market is also being lifted by a wider dark-store footprint in major metro areas, where fast fulfillment depends on a short distance between stocked inventory and the final address. Amazon Now launched across dozens of US cities in May 2026 and used 5,000- to 10,000-square-foot micro-fulfillment centers to support deliveries in 30 minutes or less. That rollout shows how the United States quick commerce market is moving from pilot activity toward a more durable local infrastructure model. The same buildout changes the real estate equation, because operators can use smaller urban and suburban footprints to serve dense order pockets without relying on large-format retail locations. It also underscores the importance of per-site order density, since the value of a dark store lies in throughput rather than geographic coverage alone. As more networks fill in major metros, competitive advantage will depend less on opening new nodes and more on extracting higher-order volume from each existing site in the United States quick commerce market.

Thin Gross Margins Versus Traditional E-Grocery Models

Thin gross margins remain one of the clearest limits on the United States quick commerce market, because very fast delivery leaves little room to spread labor and routing costs across multiple orders. The basic issue is that speed can raise customer value while still weakening unit economics if orders are dispatched one by one and baskets remain small. This is why several operators are trying to pair delivery income with other revenue streams, such as subscriptions, merchant services, and advertising, rather than relying solely on transaction fees. Gopuff’s November 2025 funding round reflected that pressure, as the company tied new capital directly to AI, infrastructure, and customer experience rather than to simple footprint expansion. The margin problem is even more pronounced when a dark store falls short of the order volume needed to cover fixed operating costs throughout the day. For that reason, the United States quick commerce market is likely to favor models that extend their local networks across grocery, wellness, household essentials, and pharmacy rather than those built around a single, narrow demand mission.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
  • Integration of AI-Driven Demand Forecasting for Inventory Optimization
  • Partnerships With C-Stores and Supermarkets to Broaden SKU Count
  • High Last-Mile Delivery Costs In Low-Density Suburbs
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Grocery and Staples held 52.61% share of the United States quick commerce market size in 2025, and that category remained the foundation of repeat ordering across the sector. The reason is simple, because milk, bread, eggs, pantry items, and other household basics generate the most dependable replenishment behavior. In the United States quick commerce market, that recurring grocery demand justifies local inventory placement and helps operators hold the order density needed for other categories to ride on the same network. Fresh Produce and Dairy, Snacks and Beverages, and Personal Care and OTC Pharma also benefit from the same convenience logic, but each category has different operating requirements around shelf life, handling, or compliance. Home and Cleaning Supplies and Pet Care add stability because both categories involve recurring needs and customer routines that align with subscription and reorder models.

Flowers and Gifts sit on a different demand curve, but they still fit the United States quick commerce market because urgency often matters more than a wide assortment in last-minute purchase occasions. Electronics and Accessories is forecast to grow at the fastest pace, with a 7.08% CAGR from 2026 to 2031, indicating that the category is moving from a niche add-on to a more normalized quick-delivery purchase. This part of the United States quick commerce industry benefits from replacement urgency, since chargers, cables, earbuds, and small peripherals are often needed immediately and are easy to carry through local networks. It also works well with the broader shift toward wellness and health-related baskets, because platforms are widening their role beyond food-only demand. The FDA’s final rule on Additional Conditions for Nonprescription Use created a new class of nonprescription products that can be marketed with additional conditions, which expands the long-term scope for digitally enabled OTC access and supports adjacent category growth.

Complete Report Scope:

  • By Product Category
    • Grocery and Staples
    • Fresh Produce and Dairy
    • Snacks and Beverages
    • Personal Care and OTC Pharma
    • Home and Cleaning Supplies
    • Electronics and Accessories
    • Pet Care
    • Flowers and Gifts
    • Other Product Categories
  • By Delivery Time Promise
    • Less than 10 Minutes
    • 11-30 Minutes
    • 31-60 Minutes and More

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

  • GoBrands, Inc.
  • Maplebear Inc.
  • DoorDash Inc.
  • Uber Technologies Inc.
  • Amazon.com Inc.
  • Walmart Inc.
  • Target Corporation
  • 7-Eleven Inc.
  • Wonder
  • Getir US Inc.
  • Delivery.com LLC
  • Postmates LLC
  • FreshDirect LLC
  • Albertsons Companies Inc.
  • Kroger Co.
  • Thrive Market Inc.
  • Misfits Market Inc.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

Table of Contents

1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
1.2 Scope of the Study
2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
4 MARKET LANDSCAPE
4.1 Market Overview
4.2 Market Drivers
4.2.1 Expanding Dark-Store Networks Across Major Metros
4.2.2 Integration of AI-Driven Demand Forecasting for Inventory Optimization
4.2.3 Growth of Same-Day Prescription Delivery Regulations
4.2.4 Rising Millennial and Gen Z Preference for Instant Gratification
4.2.5 Venture Capital Inflows Targeting Hyperlocal Logistics
4.2.6 Partnerships With C-Stores and Supermarkets to Broaden SKU Count
4.3 Market Restraints
4.3.1 High Last-Mile Delivery Costs in Low-Density Suburbs
4.3.2 Persistent Labor Shortages for Gig Drivers
4.3.3 Municipal Restrictions on Micro-Fulfillment Centers
4.3.4 Thin Gross Margins Versus Traditional E-Grocery Models
4.4 Industry Value Chain Analysis
4.5 Regulatory Landscape
4.6 Technological Outlook
4.7 Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on the Market
4.8 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
4.8.1 Threat of New Entrants
4.8.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
4.8.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
4.8.4 Threat of Substitute Products
4.8.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS
5.1 By Product Category
5.1.1 Grocery and Staples
5.1.2 Fresh Produce and Dairy
5.1.3 Snacks and Beverages
5.1.4 Personal Care and OTC Pharma
5.1.5 Home and Cleaning Supplies
5.1.6 Electronics and Accessories
5.1.7 Pet Care
5.1.8 Flowers and Gifts
5.1.9 Other Product Categories
5.2 By Delivery Time Promise
5.2.1 Less than 10 Minutes
5.2.2 11-30 Minutes
5.2.3 31-60 Minutes and More
6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
6.1 Market Concentration
6.2 Strategic Moves
6.3 Market Share Analysis
6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
6.4.1 GoBrands, Inc.
6.4.2 Maplebear Inc.
6.4.3 DoorDash Inc.
6.4.4 Uber Technologies Inc.
6.4.5 Amazon.com Inc.
6.4.6 Walmart Inc.
6.4.7 Target Corporation
6.4.8 7-Eleven Inc.
6.4.9 Wonder
6.4.10 Getir US Inc.
6.4.11 Delivery.com LLC
6.4.12 Postmates LLC
6.4.13 FreshDirect LLC
6.4.14 Albertsons Companies Inc.
6.4.15 Kroger Co.
6.4.16 Thrive Market Inc.
6.4.17 Misfits Market Inc.
7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK
7.1 White-Space and Unmet-Need Assessment

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • GoBrands, Inc.
  • Maplebear Inc.
  • DoorDash Inc.
  • Uber Technologies Inc.
  • Amazon.com Inc.
  • Walmart Inc.
  • Target Corporation
  • 7-Eleven Inc.
  • Wonder
  • Getir US Inc.
  • Delivery.com LLC
  • Postmates LLC
  • FreshDirect LLC
  • Albertsons Companies Inc.
  • Kroger Co.
  • Thrive Market Inc.
  • Misfits Market Inc.