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5G mmWave - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026-2031)

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    Report

  • 161 Pages
  • July 2026
  • Region: Global
  • Mordor Intelligence
  • ID: 6260772
According to Mordor Intelligence, 5G mmWave market size in 2026 is estimated at USD 49.72 billion, growing from 2025 value of USD 44.26 billion with 2031 projections showing USD 88.93 billion, growing at 12.34% CAGR over 2026-2031. This report is Segmented by Components Type (Antennas and Transceiver, and More), Product (Radar and Satellite Comms Systems, and More), Frequency Band (24 - 57 GHz, and More), Application (Real-Time Surveillance Cameras, and More), Use-Case (Fixed Wireless Access, and More), End-User Industry (Aerospace and Defense, and More), and Geography. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Global 5G mmWave Market Trends and Insights

Exploding Mobile Data Traffic in Dense Urban Hotspots

Rush-hour consumption now crosses 10 Gbps per square kilometre in megacities such as Seoul, Tokyo, and New York. Legacy macro cells saturate even after capacity-enhancing code upgrades, compelling carriers to add thousands of 5G mmWave small cells to lamp posts, kiosks, and building façades. Deutsche Telekom’s production shop floor achieved 4 Gbps downloads with less than 4 ms latency, enabling AI-driven robotic arms to perform real-time quality inspections. The improved experience supports 8K live sports streaming and mixed-reality overlays in stadiums, where spectators pay premium ticket prices that include guaranteed multi-gigabit service tiers. Such monetisation momentum adds recurring revenue to the 5G mmWave market and encourages CapEx discipline despite high site densities.

Spectrum Auctions Unlocking 26/28/39 GHz Bands

Since 2024, global regulators have raised more than USD 80 billion by licensing mmWave blocks, often bundling enterprise innovation zones that enable factories to deploy local networks without national coverage obligations. The US 37 GHz co-equal sharing framework sets a reference for dynamic access between federal and commercial entities, unlocking capacity that was previously reserved for defense. In Europe, Germany’s industry-campus allocations encourage private 5G mmWave market installations within automotive plants, which now stream 4K machine-vision feeds to edge servers. Flexible permitting quickens ROI by matching spectrum supply to granular industrial demand.

High CAPEX of Ultra-dense Small-cell Grids

A 5G mmWave market small cell can cost USD 10,000-50,000 before installation. Fibre backhaul adds as much as 30% in core urban zones, and HVAC retrofits inflate rooftop rents when power dissipates exceed 1 kW per site. Shared-infrastructure consortia lower expenses by 40%, but intricate co-siting rules for thermal and RF emissions slow municipal approvals, extending payback horizons in North American and Western European metropolitan areas.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  • Rapid Roll-out of 5G Fixed Wireless Access (FWA)
  • AI-driven Beam-forming Chipsets Enabling NLOS Links
  • GaN Power-Amp Supply Bottlenecks

Segment Analysis

Antennas and transceivers secured 35.58% of the 5G mmWave market in 2025, underscoring their gatekeeper role in beam management. Communication and networking ICs are expected to surge at a 13.92% CAGR due to on-chip AI, which simplifies calibration, reduces board counts, and mitigates thermal loss. Interface chips and RF filters keep steady momentum as carriers retrofit legacy macro sites. Imaging modules unlock autonomous-vehicle perception layers by blending mmWave depth sensing with lidar and camera feeds.

Glass-substrate arrays promise to reduce handset bill-of-materials by up to 30% while increasing gain; TSMC, Intel, and Samsung plan to initiate volume runs by 2026. Multi-function packages that fuse PA, LNA, and phase-shifters in a single stack shrink footprint, enhancing reliability and winning design slots in the latest smartphones. Despite material bottlenecks, the 5G mmWave market component ecosystem stays vibrant as suppliers diversify gallium inputs and invest in wafer-level RF testing lines.

Telecommunication equipment comprised 47.25% of the 5G mmWave market size in 2025 and is expected to expand at a 13.32% CAGR through 2031, driven by operators’ densification cycles and campus-network contracts. Scanning systems fill the security and industrial analytics niches, utilizing mmWave technology to detect micro-gestures and track high-speed conveyor belts. Radar and satellite terminals serve the aerospace and defence sectors, where mmWave’s small antenna aperture fits cramped payload envelopes.

Nokia signed 55 new private-5G customers in 2024, while Ericsson’s enterprise wireless revenue rose 17%, showing vendor cross-selling strength. Customers prefer turnkey bundles that integrate edge compute, RAN, and device certification into a managed service. This one-stop model advances the 5G mmWave market, as enterprises lacking RF expertise outsource connectivity in the same way they have adopted the public cloud.

Complete Report Scope:

  • By Component Type
    • Antennas and Transceivers
    • Communication and Networking ICs
    • Interface Chips
    • Frequency-Control and Filters
    • Imaging Modules
    • Other Components
  • By Product
    • Radar and Satellite Comms Systems
    • Scanning Systems
    • Telecommunication Equipment
    • Other Products
  • By Frequency Band
    • 24 - 57 GHz (V-Band)
    • 57 - 95 GHz (E-Band)
    • 95 -300 GHz (W/D-Bands)
  • By Application
    • Real-time Surveillance Cameras
    • Augmented/Virtual Reality
    • Industry 4.0 Automation
    • Ultra-HD Video Streaming
    • Transport Connectivity
    • Live Streaming
    • Other Applications
  • By Use-Case
    • Fixed Wireless Access (FWA)
    • Enhanced Mobile Broadband (eMBB)
    • Massive Machine-Type Comms (mMTC)
    • Ultra-Reliable Low-Latency Comms (URLLC)
  • By End-User Industry
    • Aerospace and Defense
    • Telecommunications Operators
    • Automotive and Transportation
    • Healthcare and Life Sciences
    • Public Safety and Emergency Services
    • Media and Entertainment
  • By Geography
    • North America
      • United States
      • Canada
      • Mexico
    • South America
      • Brazil
      • Argentina
      • Rest of South America
    • Europe
      • Germany
      • United Kingdom
      • France
      • Italy
      • Spain
      • Rest of Europe
    • Asia-Pacific
      • China
      • Japan
      • South Korea
      • India
      • Australia
      • Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • Middle East
      • United Arab Emirates
      • Saudi Arabia
      • Turkey
      • Rest of Middle East
    • Africa
      • South Africa
      • Nigeria
      • Rest of Africa

Geography Analysis

Asia Pacific accounted for 39.45% of the 5G mmWave market size in 2025 and is growing at a 18.46% CAGR. China alone upgraded 400,000 macro sites to 5G-Advanced by mid-2025, funnelling USD 3 billion into mmWave-ready hardware. Japan’s NTT DOCOMO commercialised 6.6 Gbps NR-DC handsets that aggregate sub-6 and 28 GHz spectra. South Korea opened private-network licenses for 35 conglomerates, enabling Samsung and Hyundai to digitize their factories end-to-end. India’s FWA subscriber base is forecast to hit 30 million by 2027, confirming mmWave viability in price-sensitive regions.

FCC auctions have raised USD 80 billion since 2024, and Verizon’s MDU FWA blueprint shows how to retrofit existing apartment wiring fast. T-Mobile’s network slicing for first responders across 29 cities offers guaranteed QoS without extra charges. Canada’s consultation on 26/38 GHz signals future release, while Mexico’s cross-border spectrum planning aligns with US-based equipment ecosystems.

Ofcom allocated 6.25 GHz for city-scale permits, and German regulators reserved 26 GHz blocks for factories that require deterministic latency. France’s Istres pilot merges mmWave with Wi-Fi for public-safety video and smart-parking. Rome’s EUR 97.7 million roll-out finances 2,200 small cells ahead of Jubilee 2025, demonstrating municipal willingness to underwrite communal backhaul for tourism and security.

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

  • Qualcomm
  • Ericsson
  • Verizon
  • Huawei
  • NXP Semiconductors
  • NEC Corporation
  • L3Harris Technologies
  • Nokia
  • ATandT
  • FASTWEB S.p.A.
  • Fujitsu
  • Samsung Electronics
  • Corning
  • ZTE Corporation
  • Keysight Technologies
  • Aviat Networks
  • BridgeWave Communications
  • Cisco Systems
  • Intel Corporation
  • Rakuten Symphony

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

Table of Contents

1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
1.2 Scope of the Study
2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
4 MARKET LANDSCAPE
4.1 Market Overview
4.2 Market Drivers
4.2.1 Exploding mobile data traffic in dense urban hotspots
4.2.2 Spectrum auctions unlocking 26/28/39 GHz bands
4.2.3 Rapid roll-out of 5G Fixed Wireless Access (FWA)
4.2.4 mmWave microwave-backhaul cost efficiencies
4.2.5 Glass-substrate antenna arrays lowering handset BOM
4.2.6 AI-driven beam-forming chipsets enabling NLOS links
4.3 Market Restraints
4.3.1 High CAPEX of ultra-dense small-cell grids
4.3.2 Poor penetration and rain-fade propagation limits
4.3.3 GaN power-amp supply bottlenecks
4.3.4 Municipal aesthetic rules curbing rooftop sites
4.4 Industry Value Chain Analysis
4.5 Regulatory Landscape
4.6 Technological Outlook
4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
4.8 Investment Analysis
5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)
5.1 By Component Type
5.1.1 Antennas and Transceivers
5.1.2 Communication and Networking ICs
5.1.3 Interface Chips
5.1.4 Frequency-Control and Filters
5.1.5 Imaging Modules
5.1.6 Other Components
5.2 By Product
5.2.1 Radar and Satellite Comms Systems
5.2.2 Scanning Systems
5.2.3 Telecommunication Equipment
5.2.4 Other Products
5.3 By Frequency Band
5.3.1 24 - 57 GHz (V-Band)
5.3.2 57 - 95 GHz (E-Band)
5.3.3 95 -300 GHz (W/D-Bands)
5.4 By Application
5.4.1 Real-time Surveillance Cameras
5.4.2 Augmented/Virtual Reality
5.4.3 Industry 4.0 Automation
5.4.4 Ultra-HD Video Streaming
5.4.5 Transport Connectivity
5.4.6 Live Streaming
5.4.7 Other Applications
5.5 By Use-Case
5.5.1 Fixed Wireless Access (FWA)
5.5.2 Enhanced Mobile Broadband (eMBB)
5.5.3 Massive Machine-Type Comms (mMTC)
5.5.4 Ultra-Reliable Low-Latency Comms (URLLC)
5.6 By End-User Industry
5.6.1 Aerospace and Defense
5.6.2 Telecommunications Operators
5.6.3 Automotive and Transportation
5.6.4 Healthcare and Life Sciences
5.6.5 Public Safety and Emergency Services
5.6.6 Media and Entertainment
5.7 By Geography
5.7.1 North America
5.7.1.1 United States
5.7.1.2 Canada
5.7.1.3 Mexico
5.7.2 South America
5.7.2.1 Brazil
5.7.2.2 Argentina
5.7.2.3 Rest of South America
5.7.3 Europe
5.7.3.1 Germany
5.7.3.2 United Kingdom
5.7.3.3 France
5.7.3.4 Italy
5.7.3.5 Spain
5.7.3.6 Rest of Europe
5.7.4 Asia-Pacific
5.7.4.1 China
5.7.4.2 Japan
5.7.4.3 South Korea
5.7.4.4 India
5.7.4.5 Australia
5.7.4.6 Rest of Asia-Pacific
5.7.5 Middle East
5.7.5.1 United Arab Emirates
5.7.5.2 Saudi Arabia
5.7.5.3 Turkey
5.7.5.4 Rest of Middle East
5.7.6 Africa
5.7.6.1 South Africa
5.7.6.2 Nigeria
5.7.6.3 Rest of Africa
6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
6.1 Market Concentration
6.2 Strategic Moves
6.3 Market Share Analysis
6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global-level Overview, Market-level Overview, Core Segments, Financials, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
6.4.1 Qualcomm
6.4.2 Ericsson
6.4.3 Verizon
6.4.4 Huawei
6.4.5 NXP Semiconductors
6.4.6 NEC Corporation
6.4.7 L3Harris Technologies
6.4.8 Nokia
6.4.9 ATandT
6.4.10 FASTWEB S.p.A.
6.4.11 Fujitsu
6.4.12 Samsung Electronics
6.4.13 Corning
6.4.14 ZTE Corporation
6.4.15 Keysight Technologies
6.4.16 Aviat Networks
6.4.17 BridgeWave Communications
6.4.18 Cisco Systems
6.4.19 Intel Corporation
6.4.20 Rakuten Symphony
7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK
7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • Qualcomm
  • Ericsson
  • Verizon
  • Huawei
  • NXP Semiconductors
  • NEC Corporation
  • L3Harris Technologies
  • Nokia
  • ATandT
  • FASTWEB S.p.A.
  • Fujitsu
  • Samsung Electronics
  • Corning
  • ZTE Corporation
  • Keysight Technologies
  • Aviat Networks
  • BridgeWave Communications
  • Cisco Systems
  • Intel Corporation
  • Rakuten Symphony