The sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market size is expected to see exponential growth in the next few years. It will grow to $17.62 billion in 2030 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29.1%. The forecast period growth can be attributed to expansion of mandatory sustainable aviation fuel blending regulations, strengthening of carbon pricing and emissions trading systems, scaling of e-SAF and power-to-liquid technologies, rising long-term offtake agreements with airlines, and increased investment in SAF production infrastructure. Key trends include long-term airline decarbonization commitments, growth of SAF credit trading and book-and-claim mechanisms, development of indexed pricing and risk-sharing contract models, improved feedstock traceability and certification standards, and strategic airline-producer partnerships in SAF production.
The increasing crude oil prices are expected to drive the growth of the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market going forward. Crude oil prices refer to the prevailing rates at which raw petroleum is bought and sold in global markets, typically quoted on a per-barrel basis. Crude oil prices are often influenced by supply disruptions, such as reduced production or geopolitical conflicts in major oil-producing regions, which constrain global supply and push market prices higher. Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreements help reduce reliance on crude oil by securing long-term adoption of alternative aviation fuels, thereby lowering exposure to volatile crude oil price fluctuations in the aviation sector. For instance, in January 2026, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, a U.S.-based semi-independent agency, crude oil first purchase prices increased from $58.44 per barrel in January to $62.44 per barrel in February. Therefore, the rising crude oil prices are driving the growth of the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market.
Leading companies operating in the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market are focusing on establishing long-term fuel supply partnerships to accelerate aviation decarbonization, strengthen regional SAF infrastructure, and support corporate sustainability targets. Long-term fuel supply partnerships are strategic agreements between fuel suppliers and buyers that ensure stable fuel availability over extended periods while reducing supply risks and supporting long-term operational planning. For example, in May 2026, DHL Express, a Germany-based international logistics company, signed a 10-year SAF offtake agreement with SAF One, a UAE-based sustainable aviation fuel developer, to secure 25,000 metric tons of unblended SAF annually from SAF One’s Bahrain production facility beginning in 2028. The agreement integrates the Middle East’s first SAF production plant into DHL’s global SAF supply network and supports the company’s goal of increasing SAF usage to 30% by 2030 while enabling measurable lifecycle CO₂ emission reductions across its regional and international air transport operations.
In February 2025, Haffner Energy SA, a France-based engineering firm, joined forces with ATOBA Energ SAS to enhance and scale the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) value chain by facilitating bankable long-term offtake agreements and speeding up SAF project development. Through this collaboration, the companies seek to reduce risk in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production and boost market scaling by securing structured, bankable offtake agreements throughout the SAF value chain. ATOBA Energy SAS is a France-based energy manufacturing firm providing SAF offtake agreement solutions.
Major companies operating in the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market are Shell plc, TotalEnergies SE, BP plc, Neste Oyj, World Energy LLC, Eni S.p.A, OMV Aktiengesellschaft, Gevo Inc., Avfuel Corporation, SkyNRG B.V., Aemetis Inc., International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A., Southwest Airlines Co., Alaska Air Group Inc., easyJet plc, JetBlue Airways Corporation, Virgin Atlantic Airways Limited, LanzaJet Inc., AIR COMPANY Holdings Inc., Haffner Energy SA, Twelve Benefit Corporation, Sora Fuel Corporation, USA BioEnergy LLC, ATOBA Energy SAS, Chevron Corporation, Honeywell International Inc., Axens, Trafigura Group.
North America was the dominant region in the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market in 2025. Asia-Pacific is expected to be the rapidly expanding region in the forecast period. The regions covered in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement report are Asia-Pacific, South East Asia, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa. The countries covered in the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Taiwan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain.
The sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market includes revenues earned by providing services such as supply chain coordination and logistics management, fuel scheduling and delivery planning, and storage and handling support at terminals and airports. The market value includes the value of related goods sold by the service provider or included within the service offering. Only goods and services traded between entities or sold to end consumers are included.
The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD unless otherwise specified).
The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.
The sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market research report is one of a series of new reports that provides sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market statistics, including sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement industry global market size, regional shares, competitors with a sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market share, detailed sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market segments, market trends and opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement industry. This sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenario of the industry.
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Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Offtake Agreement Market Global Report 2026 provides strategists, marketers and senior management with the critical information they need to assess the market.This report focuses sustainable aviation fuel (saf) offtake agreement market which is experiencing strong growth. The report gives a guide to the trends which will be shaping the market over the next ten years and beyond.
Reasons to Purchase:
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Description
Where is the largest and fastest growing market for sustainable aviation fuel (saf) offtake agreement? How does the market relate to the overall economy, demography and other similar markets? What forces will shape the market going forward, including technological disruption, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer preferences? The sustainable aviation fuel (saf) offtake agreement market global report answers all these questions and many more.The report covers market characteristics, size and growth, segmentation, regional and country breakdowns, total addressable market (TAM), market attractiveness score (MAS), competitive landscape, market shares, company scoring matrix, trends and strategies for this market. It traces the market’s historic and forecast market growth by geography.
- The market characteristics section of the report defines and explains the market. This section also examines key products and services offered in the market, evaluates brand-level differentiation, compares product features, and highlights major innovation and product development trends.
- The supply chain analysis section provides an overview of the entire value chain, including key raw materials, resources, and supplier analysis. It also provides a list competitor at each level of the supply chain.
- The updated trends and strategies section analyses the shape of the market as it evolves and highlights emerging technology trends such as digital transformation, automation, sustainability initiatives, and AI-driven innovation. It suggests how companies can leverage these advancements to strengthen their market position and achieve competitive differentiation.
- The regulatory and investment landscape section provides an overview of the key regulatory frameworks, regularity bodies, associations, and government policies influencing the market. It also examines major investment flows, incentives, and funding trends shaping industry growth and innovation.
- The market size section gives the market size ($b) covering both the historic growth of the market, and forecasting its development.
- The forecasts are made after considering the major factors currently impacting the market. These include the technological advancements such as AI and automation, Russia-Ukraine war, trade tariffs (government-imposed import/export duties), elevated inflation and interest rates.
- The total addressable market (TAM) analysis section defines and estimates the market potential compares it with the current market size, and provides strategic insights and growth opportunities based on this evaluation.
- The market attractiveness scoring section evaluates the market based on a quantitative scoring framework that considers growth potential, competitive dynamics, strategic fit, and risk profile. It also provides interpretive insights and strategic implications for decision-makers.
- Market segmentations break down the market into sub markets.
- The regional and country breakdowns section gives an analysis of the market in each geography and the size of the market by geography and compares their historic and forecast growth.
- Expanded geographical coverage includes Taiwan and Southeast Asia, reflecting recent supply chain realignments and manufacturing shifts in the region. This section analyzes how these markets are becoming increasingly important hubs in the global value chain.
- The competitive landscape chapter gives a description of the competitive nature of the market, market shares, and a description of the leading companies. Key financial deals which have shaped the market in recent years are identified.
- The company scoring matrix section evaluates and ranks leading companies based on a multi-parameter framework that includes market share or revenues, product innovation, and brand recognition.
Report Scope
Markets Covered:
1) By Contract Type: Long Term Offtake Agreements; Short Term Offtake Agreements; Spot Purchase Agreements; Framework Agreements; Strategic Partnership Agreements2) By Fuel Type: Hydroprocessed Esters And Fatty Acids Based Sustainable Aviation Fuel; Fischer Tropsch Sustainable Aviation Fuel; Alcohol To Jet Sustainable Aviation Fuel; Power To Liquid Sustainable Aviation Fuel; Synthetic Sustainable Aviation Fuel; Bio Based Sustainable Aviation Fuel
3) By Feedstock: Used Cooking Oil; Animal Fat; Municipal Solid Waste; Agricultural Residue; Other Feedstocks
4) By End User: Commercial Airlines; Cargo Airlines; Business Aviation Operators; Defense And Military Aviation; Airport Fuel Operator
Subsegments:
1) By Long Term Offtake Agreements: Fixed Price Long Term Supply Contracts; Indexed Price Contracts; Volume Committed Multi Year Contracts2) By Short Term Offtake Agreements: Annual Supply Contracts; Seasonal Demand Based Contracts; Rolling Six To Twelve Month Supply Agreements
3) By Spot Purchase Agreements: One Time Bulk Sustainable Aviation Fuel Purchases; Immediate Delivery Contracts Based On Availability; Market Price Driven Spot Trading Agreements
4) By Framework Agreements: Master Supply Agreements With Multiple Drawdowns; Pre Approved Pricing And Volume Band Agreements; Multi Supplier Framework Procurement Contracts
5) By Strategic Partnership Agreements: Airline Producer Joint Development Agreements; Co Investment Agreements In Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production Facilities; Technology Collaboration And Feedstock Sourcing Partnerships
Companies Mentioned: Shell plc; TotalEnergies SE; BP plc; Neste Oyj; World Energy LLC; Eni S.p.A; OMV Aktiengesellschaft; Gevo Inc.; Avfuel Corporation; SkyNRG B.V.; Aemetis Inc.; International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A.; Southwest Airlines Co.; Alaska Air Group Inc.; easyJet plc; JetBlue Airways Corporation; Virgin Atlantic Airways Limited; LanzaJet Inc.; AIR COMPANY Holdings Inc.; Haffner Energy SA; Twelve Benefit Corporation; Sora Fuel Corporation; USA BioEnergy LLC; ATOBA Energy SAS; Chevron Corporation; Honeywell International Inc.; Axens; Trafigura Group.
Countries: Australia; Brazil; China; France; Germany; India; Indonesia; Japan; Taiwan; Russia; South Korea; UK; USA; Canada; Italy; Spain
Regions: Asia-Pacific; South East Asia; Western Europe; Eastern Europe; North America; South America; Middle East; Africa
Time Series: Five years historic and ten years forecast.
Data: Ratios of market size and growth to related markets, GDP proportions, expenditure per capita.
Data Segmentation: Country and regional historic and forecast data, market share of competitors, market segments.
Sourcing and Referencing: Data and analysis throughout the report is sourced using end notes.
Delivery Format: Word, PDF or Interactive Report + Excel Dashboard
Added Benefits
- Bi-Annual Data Update
- Customisation
- Expert Consultant Support
Companies Mentioned
- Shell plc
- TotalEnergies SE
- BP plc
- Neste Oyj
- World Energy LLC
- Eni S.p.A
- OMV Aktiengesellschaft
- Gevo Inc.
- Avfuel Corporation
- SkyNRG B.V.
- Aemetis Inc.
- International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A.
- Southwest Airlines Co.
- Alaska Air Group Inc.
- easyJet plc
- JetBlue Airways Corporation
- Virgin Atlantic Airways Limited
- LanzaJet Inc.
- AIR COMPANY Holdings Inc.
- Haffner Energy SA
- Twelve Benefit Corporation
- Sora Fuel Corporation
- USA BioEnergy LLC
- ATOBA Energy SAS
- Chevron Corporation
- Honeywell International Inc.
- Axens
- Trafigura Group.
Table Information
| Report Attribute | Details |
|---|---|
| No. of Pages | 250 |
| Published | April 2026 |
| Forecast Period | 2026 - 2030 |
| Estimated Market Value ( USD | $ 6.35 Billion |
| Forecasted Market Value ( USD | $ 17.62 Billion |
| Compound Annual Growth Rate | 29.1% |
| Regions Covered | Global |
| No. of Companies Mentioned | 28 |


