Mexico Secure Logistics - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026-2031)

The Mexico secure logistics market size was valued at USD 2.14 billion in 2025, and is estimated to grow from USD 2.26 billion in 2026 to reach USD 3.17 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 7.01% during the forecast period (2026-2031). This report is segmented by Service Type (Transportation, Warehousing and Storage, Value-Added Services), by Application (Cash Management, Diamonds, Jewelry and Precious Metal, Manufacturing, Others), by Type (Static, Mobile), and by End User (Financial Institutions, Retailers, Government, Others). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Mexico Secure Logistics Market Trends and Insights

High Incidence of Cargo Theft and Violent Robbery

Cargo theft remained a central demand factor for the Mexico secure logistics market during 2026. Mexico’s National Guard recorded 2,519 thefts through August 2026, compared with 6,263 thefts in all of 2025. The remaining incidents involved a high level of violence, with 76% involving physical violence in the second quarter. The Center and West regions accounted for 77% of reported incidents, including 18% in the State of Mexico, 17.9% in Puebla, and 10.8% in Guanajuato. CANACAR reported that 93% of thefts were concentrated in 10 states, and the State of Mexico and Puebla together accounted for 50%. These conditions favored providers with active intelligence, route controls, and coordination procedures over providers focused only on armored vehicle deployment.

Continued Importance of Physical Cash

Physical cash continued to support cash-management demand across the Mexico secure logistics market. Banco de Mexico reported that 49.6% of electronic remittances were collected in cash from total remittances of USD 61.8 billion received during 2025. This collection pattern required cash redistribution across receiving locations and local communities. New ATMs and correspondent banking arrangements also added distribution routes in municipalities with limited access to traditional banking. Card payments exceeded 10.6 billion transactions in the 12 months through June 2025, while the average real transaction value declined from MXN 903 in 2015 to MXN 580 (USD 50.93 to USD 32.26) in 2025. The evidence indicated that digital substitution focused on lower-value urban purchases, while branch deposits, ATM replenishment, and larger cash collections continued to require specialized handling.

High Capital and Operating Costs

High entry and operating costs limited the number of providers able to scale in the Mexico secure logistics market. The regulated armored vehicle sector expanded 39% in 2025, which tightened available fleet capacity in the sector. Vehicle procurement, maintenance, communications equipment, insurance, and armed staffing required sustained capital commitments. Mexico’s labor reform took effect in May 2026, while payroll provisions are set to begin in January 2027. The reform increased compensation exposure for personnel-intensive security operations. A shortage of 150,000 certified logistics technicians annually, as reported, further increased competition for trained and vetted personnel.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

• Growth of E-Commerce and High-Volume Parcel Flows
• Expansion of Cross-Border Trade and Manufacturing
• Long-Term Shift Toward Digital Payments

Segment Analysis

Transportation held 64.50% of the Mexico secure logistics market share in 2025. Road-based armored movement remained the primary commercial activity because trucking carried a large share of freight across the country and through cross-border corridors. Air and sea transport served premium cargo and consolidated international shipments where speed or cargo value justified added controls. Rail maintained a smaller but relevant role for mining and industrial cargo on northern and western corridors. Transportation also covered the recurring movement of ATM cash, branch deposits, retail collections, and valuables. Its large installed fleet and operational reach kept it central to the Mexico secure logistics industry.

Value-added services recorded a 8.70% CAGR through 2031, making it the fastest-growing service type. Customers increasingly sought risk analysis, real-time monitoring, reporting, insurance coordination, and documented custody alongside physical movement. These services allowed operators to build a fuller record of each transfer and to respond to changing security conditions. Secure warehousing and vault services also gained relevance near manufacturing and distribution centers. Manufacturers using nearshoring-oriented supply chains needed monitored storage closer to production and distribution points. The Ley Federal de Seguridad Privada and CNBV requirements for providers serving financial institutions reinforced the advantage held by established operators with certified staff, compliant equipment, and operating scale.

Cash management accounted for 62.85% of the Mexico secure logistics market size in 2025. ATM replenishment, branch deposit collection, vault redistribution, and cash processing supported this leading position. Financial institutions and retailers required frequent collections even as customers adopted more electronic payment methods. Remittance collection in cash further supported dispersed distribution requirements in local markets. Cash-management contracts also relied on verified personnel, secure vehicles, custody documentation, and reliable scheduling. These operating requirements made the segment a durable part of the Mexico secure logistics industry.

Jewelry and precious metals recorded a 9.10% CAGR through 2031. Mexico ranked sixth in global gold production, while the precious-metal jewelry import market reached USD 1.01 billion in 2025 and grew 11.23% in the trade analysis. The Camara de Joyeria de Jalisco estimated that in-transit theft or distribution-center discrepancies accounted for up to 7% of annual sector losses. This loss exposure raised the value of dedicated transport and verified delivery procedures. Manufacturing also represented a meaningful application through shipments of automotive, electronics, and pharmaceutical components. Diamonds and other goods, including pharmaceuticals, electronics, and luxury products, expanded with e-commerce, although their insurance and documentation standards were less formalized than those used for cash and precious metals.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Service Type
  • Transportation
    • Road
    • Rail
    • Air
    • Sea and Inland Waterways
  • Warehousing and Storage (including Secure Storage and Vault Services)
  • Value-added Services
• By Application
  • Cash Management
  • Diamonds
  • Jewelry and Precious Metal
  • Manufacturing
  • Others
• By Type
  • Static
  • Mobile
• By End User
  • Financial Institutions
  • Retailers
  • Government
  • Others

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

• Grupo Seguridad Integral (GSI)
• The Brink's Company
• Prosegur S.A.
• DHL Group
• FedEx
• United Parcel Service of America, Inc. (UPS)
• Kuehne+Nagel
• DSV A/S
• Overhaul Group, Inc.
• Transportes Lock, S.A. de C.V.
• SP-Alfamex
• Proseval, S.A. de C.V.
• TRASCUVAT
• Serblin, S.A. de C.V.
• Travalex
• FX Terradynamics
• Probain de Occidente
• Prevencion Garaco, S.A. de C.V.
• Grupo Aguila Bicefala de Transportes S.A. de C.V.
• HIENA Transportes Blindados, S.A. de C.V.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support