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Global Commercial Construction - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2030

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    Report

  • 60 Pages
  • September 2026
  • Region: Global
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 6290976

Global Commercial Construction - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2030

Summary

This report provides a detailed analysis of the prospects for the global Commercial construction outlook to 2030.

Global commercial output is forecast to increase by 0.5% in real terms in 2026, before accelerating to 3.0% in 2027 as pressures specific to 2026 ease. Commercial construction’s share of total construction output has remained between 11% and 12% globally since 2020, with only gradual declines recorded across most regions through to 2030, indicating that the sector’s relative weight within total construction activity is stable even as growth rates vary by subsector.

Scope

  • An overview of the outlook for the global commercial construction sector to 2030.
  • Analysis of the outlook for the commercial construction sector in major global regions: North America, Latin America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, South Asia, South-East Asia, North-East Asia, Australasia, the Middle East and North Africa, and Sub-Saharan Africa.
  • Analysis of the latest data on commercial construction trends in key markets.

Reasons to Buy

  • Evaluate regional commercial construction trends from insight on output values and forecast data to 2030. Identify the fastest growers to enable assessment and targeting of commercial opportunities in the markets best suited to strategic focus.
  • Identify the drivers in the global commercial construction sector and consider growth in emerging and developed economies.

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary
2 Commercial Construction Outlook
2.1 Leisure and Hospitality Building
  • Outlook
2.2 Office Buildings
  • Outlook
2.3 Retail Buildings
  • Outlook
2.4 Outdoor Leisure Facilities
  • Outlook
2.5 Other Commercial Construction
  • Outlook
3 Commercial Construction Pipeline
3.1 Data Centers
  • Outlook
3.2 Leisure and Hospitality Buildings
  • Outlook
3.3 Office Buildings
  • Outlook
3.4 Transportation and Storage Buildings
  • Outlook
3.5 Retail Buildings
  • Outlook
3.6 Outdoor Leisure Facilities
  • Outlook
3.7 Agricultural and Forestry Buildings
  • Outlook
4 Key Commercial Policy Developments
4.1 North America
4.2 Latin America
4.3 Western Europe
4.4 Eastern Europe
4.5 Middle East and North Africa
4.6 Sub-Saharan Africa
4.7 North East Asia
4.8 Southeast Asia
4.9 South Asia
4.1 Australasia
5 Definitions
  • About the Analyst
  • Contact Us
List of Tables
Table 1: Global Commercial Output Growth by Sub-region (Real % Change), 2021-2030
Table 2: Leisure and Hospitality Buildings, Construction Output Growth by Sub-region (Real % Change), 2021-30
Table 3: Office Buildings, Construction Output Growth by Sub-region (Real % Change), 2021-30
Table 4: Retail Buildings, Construction Output Growth by Sub-region (Real % Change), 2021-30
Table 5: Outdoor Leisure Facilities, Construction Output Growth by Sub-region (Real % Change), 2021-30
Table 6: Other Commercial Construction, Construction Output Growth by Sub-region (Real % Change), 2021-30
Table 7: Active commercial pipeline by project stage
Table 8: Top 10 companies by active net pipeline value
Table 9: Data Center, active pipeline by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Table 10: Data Center, Top 20 Projects by Project Value ($m)
Table 11: Leisure & Hospitality Buildings, active pipeline by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Table 12: Leisure & Hospitality Buildings, Top 20 Projects by Project Value ($m)
Table 13: Office Buildings, active pipeline by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Table 14: Office Buildings, Top 20 Projects by Project Value ($m)
Table 15: Transportation & Storage Buildings, active pipeline by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Table 16: Transportation & Storage Buildings, Top 20 Projects by Project Value ($m)
Table 17: Retail Buildings, active pipeline by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Table 18: Retail Buildings, Top 20 Projects by Project Value ($m)
Table 19: Outdoor Leisure Facilities, active pipeline by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Table 20: Outdoor Leisure Facilities, Top 20 Projects by Project Value ($m)
Table 21: Agricultural & Forestry Buildings, active pipeline by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Table 22: Agricultural & Forestry Buildings, Top 20 Projects by Project Value ($m)
Table 23: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
List of Figures
Figure 1: Global Commercial Construction Output Value by Sub-sector (Real, 2022 $ Billion), 2021-2030
Figure 2: Global commercial output by sub-region: 2020 vs 2030
Figure 3: Global commercial output share by sub-region 2026
Figure 4: Global Commercial Output by Sub-region (Index 2020=100)
Figure 5: Leisure and Hospitality Construction, CAGR 2021-2025 vs CAGR 2026-2030
Figure 6: Leisure and Hospitality Construction Output, by region (Real, $ Million)
Figure 7: Office Construction, CAGR 2021-2025 vs CAGR 2026-2030
Figure 8: Office Construction Output, by region (Real, $ Million)
Figure 9: Retail Buildings Construction, CAGR 2021-2025 vs CAGR 2026-2030
Figure 10: Retail Buildings Construction Output, by region (Real, $ Million)
Figure 11: Outdoor Leisure Facilities Construction, CAGR 2021-2025 vs CAGR 2026-2030
Figure 12: Outdoor Leisure Facilities Construction Output, by region (Real, $ Million)
Figure 13: Other Commercial Construction, CAGR 2021-2025 vs CAGR 2026-2030
Figure 14: Other Commercial Construction Output, by region (Real, $ Million)
Figure 15: Commercial Construction Pipeline by Sub-sector, Annualized Net Project Value (Real, $ Billion), 2024-2030
Figure 16: Active commercial project count by subsector
Figure 17: Average floor area per project by subsector (sqm)
Figure 18: Data Center: pipeline value by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Figure 19: Leisure & Hospitality Buildings: pipeline value by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Figure 20: Office Buildings: pipeline value by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Figure 21: Transportation & Storage Buildings: pipeline value by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Figure 22: Retail Buildings: pipeline value by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Figure 23: Outdoor Leisure Facilities: pipeline value by sub-region and project stage ($m)
Figure 24: Agricultural & Forestry Buildings: pipeline value by sub-region and project stage ($m)