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The African Data Center Boom: Cloud, Hyperscale, and the Transformation of African Colocation Markets - Standard Report

  • Report

  • 118 Pages
  • November 2018
  • Region: Africa
  • Xalam Analytics
  • ID: 4701589

At long last, the African data center boom is here. After years of strong promise, but relatively slow expansion outside of South Africa, the African data center market has entered a phase of accelerated growth. The year 2018 marks an inflection point. More multi-tenant data center facilities will be built across Africa over the next two years than were established over the past three combined. Data center colocation space, power, and revenue are all set to double over the next five years. More enterprises are adopting colocation services.

Global CDN players are bulking up their African edge node presence. And crucially, the hyperscale cloud is here, transforming colocation demand patterns and volumes, altering the colo market’s traditional competitive structure, business models, and the very nature of Africa’s data center facilities.

The African Data Center Boom is our most comprehensive research to date on the African data center colocation market, leveraging months of research and interviews, extensive data collection and new analytical tools for data center analysis and geo-mapping. The report provides an unprecedented view into the dynamics underpinning the African Multi-tenant Data Center colocation market - all with the analyst team’s uncompromising focus on finding investor value - wherever it may be.

Among key findings, the report outlines:

  • Why the foundations for African colocation market growth are increasingly solid.
  • Why some markets are driven by carrier-neutral players, while others are telco-dominated;
  • The future of African colocation supply;
  • The nature of African enterprise demand for colocation;
  • The impact of hyperscale providers on African demand for data center colocation;
  • Why we say that MTDC colocation is one of the hottest growth segments in the African ICT market;
  • Why we broadly categorize the African data center colocation opportunity as follows: one sure thing (South Africa), four “next best” markets, three potentially strong, but stunted markets and five hidden gems (Angola, DRC, Uganda, Zimbabwe and Djibouti).
  • A reference report for all players and investors in the African colocation and cloud markets.

Table of Contents


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: THE AFRICAN DATA CENTER BOOM
PART I: THE FOUNDATIONS, FROM CONNECTIVITY TO POWER INFRASTRUCTURE
  • The foundations: we have entered the age of African digital
  • Connectivity markets are undergoing significant transformation
  • Charting the readiness for colocation - the international capacity infrastructure is excellent
  • Readiness for colocation - the terrestrial segment is improving, but still a bottleneck in spots
  • Readiness for colocation - improving, but still fragile power infrastructure


PART II: BREAKING DOWN AFRICA’S COLOCATION SUPPLY CAPACITY
  • A snapshot of Africa’s data center colocation supply
  • How many multi-tenant data centers are there in Africa?
  • How large are African data centers?
  • African colo space supply - a map view
  • African colo space supply - double 2015 levels
  • African colocation - four distinct market groups
  • A metro view of African colo supply - There’s Gauteng, then everybody else


PART III: FROM HYPERSCALE TO SMES, BREAKING DOWN AFRICAN DEMAND FOR COLOCATION SERVICES
  • A snapshot of African demand for data center colocation
  • Estimating African colo demand: the wholesale side
  • African colo demand: the retail side
  • African demand for colocation - summary charts
  • Breaking down demand for colocation - an explosive growth in the number of ASNs
  • African colocation demand: international providers and CDNs
  • The hyperscale are coming to Africa: how much colo capacity do they need?
  • The outsized impact of the hyperscale on African colo demand
  • African enterprise demand for colocation services - The gap from “potential” enterprise demand to actual leased space is significant


PART IV: FORECASTING AFRICAN COLOCATION: ALL THE SIGNS ARE POINTING UP
  • The outlook for the African data center colocation market
  • African colo outlook - it’s a data center colocation boom
  • Colo revenue outlook - still the hottest growth area in the African ICT market


PART V: INVESTING IN AFRICAN COLOCATION: A COUNTRY VIEW
  • African potential demand for colocation services is highly concentrated
  • Market attractiveness to colocation: the core opportunity markets
  • Market attractiveness to colocation: the secondary opportunity markets
  • Beyond South Africa - our market attractiveness matrix


PART VI: INVESTING IN AFRICAN COLOCATION: A PROVIDER VIEW
  • Who controls African colocation? Different colo fundamentals mean different market structures
  • Who controls African colocation? Africa’s Top 20 Providers
  • Strong pent-up demand, migration to the edge is driving new breed of colo players outside of South Africa
  • Outside of South Africa, new dedicated colocation players are emerging
  • Who controls African colocation? The rise of Teraco
  • Teraco: A growth story in key charts


PART VII: COUNTRY FOCUS
COUNTRY COLOCATION FOCUS: SOUTH AFRICA
  • South Africa: MTDC colocation market snapshot
  • South Africa: MTDC colocation attractiveness rating
  • Breaking down demand for colocation services in South Africa
  • South Africa colo supply - the largest market in the entire AME region
  • South African colo supply - an evolving market structure
  • South African colocation - a fragmented market here, a concentrated market there
  • South African colo outlook - a 2018 inflection point
  • South Africa: Key colocation player summary
  • South Africa key player assessment


COUNTRY COLOCATION FOCUS: NIGERIA
  • Nigeria: MTDC colocation market snapshot
  • Nigeria: MTDC colocation attractiveness rating
  • Nigeria - After the slowdown, 60% more supply coming
  • Nigeria colocation: Key data and projections*
  • Nigeria - Colocation demand review
  • Nigeria: Key colocation player summary


COUNTRY COLOCATION FOCUS: MOROCCO
  • Morocco: MTDC colocation market snapshot
  • Morocco: MTDC colocation attractiveness rating
  • Morocco - Shallow wholesale, but one of Africa’s deepest retail enterprise markets
  • Morocco - Colo supply growth is accelerating
  • Morocco: Colocation data center map
  • Morocco colocation: Key charts
  • Morocco: Key colocation player summary


COUNTRY COLOCATION FOCUS: TUNISIA
  • Tunisia: MTDC colocation market snapshot
  • Tunisia: MTDC colocation attractiveness rating
  • Tunisia - demand primarily retail, cloud-driven
  • Tunisia: Colocation data center map
  • Tunisia - Colo supply growth has largely stabilized - but revenue is accelerating
  • Tunisia colocation: Key charts*
  • Tunisia: Key colocation player summary


COUNTRY COLOCATION FOCUS: KENYA
  • Kenya: MTDC colocation market snapshot
  • Kenya: MTDC colocation attractiveness rating
  • Kenya colocation: Key data and projections*
  • Kenya - Colocation demand review
  • Kenya: Key colocation player summary
  • Kenya key player assessment - From EADC and iColo to Telkom Kenya


COUNTRY COLOCATION FOCUS: GHANA
  • Ghana: MTDC colocation market snapshot
  • Ghana: MTDC colocation attractiveness rating
  • Ghana colocation: Key data and projections*
  • Ghana - Colocation demand review
  • Ghana: Key colocation player summary
  • Ghana key player assessment - No clear leader, but more competition is coming


COUNTRY COLOCATION FOCUS: COTE-D’IVOIRE
  • Cote-d’Ivoire: MTDC colocation market snapshot
  • Cote-d’Ivoire: MTDC colocation attractiveness rating
  • Cote-d’Ivoire colocation: Key data and projections*
  • Cote-d’Ivoire - Colocation demand review
  • Cote-d’Ivoire: Key colocation player summary
  • Cote-d’Ivoire key player assessment - Orange leads, others follow


COUNTRY COLOCATION FOCUS: SENEGAL, UGANDA AND TANZANIA
  • Senegal: Lack of wholesale demand hampers colo potential
  • Uganda: getting ready for take-off
  • Tanzania: Strong potential held up by supply side concerns


LIST OF EXHIBITS
  • More than 100 4G networks are now operational in Africa
  • Broadband penetration is accelerating - Evolution of African median penetration of the population
  • The bandwidth is here: Evolution of Sub-Saharan African submarine cable equipped capacity
  • International bandwidth demand vs. supply in sample markets
  • Africa Terrestrial Fibre - Competitive Context Map - 2017 E
  • Where they are - a Mapping of Africa’s multi-tenant data centers
  • Evolution of African median MTDC size
  • Distribution of African MTDCs by Size - (2018E)**
  • Median MTDC size by key African region (2018E)**
  • Africa Colo Power Supply vs. Sample Major Colocation Markets (2018 E)
  • Evolution of Africa MTDC Colocation White Space
  • Evolution of Africa MTDC Colocation Gross Power
  • Africa Colo Space by Core Market Grouping (2018 E)
  • Africa’s Top Colocation Metros / Regions
  • Africa MTDC colocation supply vs. revenue-generating demand
  • Africa colocation demand* vs. supply growth (CAGR over indicated period)
  • African colocation revenue-generating demand as a % of estimated potential
  • African colo demand - wholesale vs. retail split
  • Evolution of Africa’s Autonomous System Numbers (ASNs)
  • Number of ASNs added annually in Africa
  • Global CDN Edge PoPs in Africa - A Map View
  • Global CDN Edge PoPs in Africa - Distribution by Provider
  • Public cloud data centers around the world - Q3 2018 (Operational + Announced)
  • Hyperscale traditional requirements vs. Sample largest SSA DCs*
  • African data center power capacity - by DC target market*
  • The Four Waves of Hyperscale Impact
  • Evolution of African colocation supply - white space
  • Evolution of African colocation supply - gross power
  • Evolution of African colocation revenue
  • African colo revenue growth - Historical vs. Projections
  • Distribution of African Autonomous System Number (ASN) base - 2018 E
  • Distribution of African edge PoP locations* - 2018 E
  • Distribution of Africa’s formal SME and corporate base* - 2018 E
  • Share of available colocation supply by carrier type - 2018 E
  • Africa’s Top 20 Colocation Players - Based on Owned Colocation Space - 2018 E*
  • South Africa vs. Other Sub-Saharan Africa - Share of Key Indicators
  • Sample emerging colocation providers in African markets - 2018E
  • Teraco: Evolution of Colocation Space - 2014 - 2019
  • Teraco: Evolution of Power Capacity - 2014 - 2019
  • Teraco: Evolution of Customer Base - 2014 - 2018
  • Teraco: Evolution of Cross-Connects - 2013 - 2018 E
  • Country Analysis
  • South Africa colocation supply - vs. other regions (NAF, ME, SSA) - 2018
  • South Africa colocation supply - Distribution by Key Metro
  • South Africa colocation supply - Share by Provider Type
  • South Africa colocation supply - Share of capacity to wholesale
  • South Africa colocation supply - Share by Provider - space
  • South Africa colocation supply - Share by provider - power
  • South Africa colocation supply outlook
  • South Africa colocation revenue
  • South Africa colocation market position - as of Q4 2018*
  • Nigeria colocation supply - Share by focus of the facility
  • Nigeria - Sample ongoing datacenter projects - as of Q4 2018
  • Nigeria MTDC colocation - Racks
  • Nigeria colocation - Share of rack supply by provider - 2018 F
  • Nigeria MTDC colocation - gross power
  • Nigeria colocation - Supply vs. Potential Demand
  • Nigeria colocation market position - as of Q4 2018*
  • Morocco - Sample ongoing datacenter projects - as of Q4 2018
  • Morocco MTDC colocation - Racks
  • Morocco colocation - Share of rack supply by provider - 2018 F
  • Morocco MTDC colocation - gross power - based on focus of the facility
  • Morocco Share of rack supply by provider type - 2018 F vs. 2020 F
  • Morocco colocation market position - as of Q2 2018*
  • Tunisia MTDC colocation - Racks
  • Tunisia colocation - Share of rack supply by provider - 2018 F
  • Tunisia MTDC colocation - gross power
  • Tunisia Share of rack supply by provider type - 2018 F
  • Tunisia colocation market position - as of Q3 2018*
  • Kenya MTDC colocation - Racks
  • Kenya colocation - Share of rack supply by provider - 2018 F
  • Kenya MTDC colocation - gross power
  • Kenya: Colo Demand estimates
  • Kenya colocation market position - as of Q3 2018*
  • Ghana MTDC colocation - Racks*
  • Ghana colocation - Share of rack supply by provider - 2018 F**
  • Ghana MTDC colocation - gross power*
  • Ghana colocation demand estimates
  • Ghana colocation market position - as of Q3 2018*
  • Cote-d'Ivoire MTDC colocation - Racks*
  • Cote-d'Ivoire colocation - Share of rack supply by provider - 2018 F*
  • Cote-d'Ivoire MTDC colocation - gross power**
  • Cote-d’Ivoire demand estimates
  • Cote-d'Ivoire colocation market position - as of Q3 2018*
  • Senegal MTDC colocation - Racks*
  • Uganda MTDC colocation - Racks*

Companies Mentioned

  • 21st Century Technologies
  • Akamai
  • Amazon Web Services
  • BCX
  • CloudExchange Nigeria
  • Djibouti Data Center
  • Etix Everywhere
  • Etix Ngoya
  • Google
  • Hetzner SA
  • Huawei
  • iColo
  • IS/Dimension Data
  • Liquid Telecom/Africa Data Centres
  • MainOne
  • Maroc Telecom
  • Medallion Communications
  • Medasys
  • MTN Business
  • N+One
  • Netflix
  • NSIA Technologies
  • Ooredoo Tunisia
  • Orange Business
  • PAIX
  • Rack Africa
  • Rack Centre
  • Raxio
  • Safaricom
  • Telkom Kenya
  • Teraco
  • Tigo Senegal
  • Tunisie Telecom
  • Vodacom Business