Soft Drinks in New Zealand - Research and Markets

Off-trade sales of soft drinks in New Zealand are expected to continue to grow in both current value and volume terms in 2022, as the boost created by the massive shift to at-home consumption due to the COVID-19 pandemic and consequent switch to working from home arrangements continued into its third year.

The Soft Drinks in New Zealand report offers a comprehensive guide to the size and shape of the market at a national level. It provides the latest retail sales data (2017-2021), allowing you to identify the sectors driving growth. It identifies the leading companies, the leading brands and offers strategic analysis of key factors influencing the market - be they legislative, distribution, packaging or pricing issues. Forecasts to 2026 illustrate how the market is set to change.

Product coverage: Asian Speciality Drinks, Bottled Water, Carbonates, Concentrates, Energy Drinks, Juice, RTD Coffee, RTD Tea, Sports Drinks.

Data coverage: Market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.

Why buy this report?

Get a detailed picture of the Soft Drinks market
Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change
Understand the competitive environment, the market’s major players and leading brands
Use five-year forecasts to assess how the market is predicted to develop.

SOFT DRINKS IN NEW ZEALAND

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Soft drinks in 2022: The big picture
2022 key trends
Competitive landscape
Retailing developments
Foodservice vs retail split
What next for soft drinks?

MARKET DATA

Table 1 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: Volume 2017-2022
Table 2 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 3 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2017-2022
Table 4 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 5 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2021
Table 6 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume 2021
Table 7 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2021
Table 8 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value 2021
Table 9 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 10 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 11 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 12 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 13 Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: Volume 2017-2022
Table 14 Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 15 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD): % Volume 2018-2022
Table 16 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD): % Volume 2019-2022
Table 17 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks: % Value 2018-2022
Table 18 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks: % Value 2019-2022
Table 19 Penetration of Private Label in Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 20 Penetration of Private Label in Off-trade Soft Drinks by Category: % Value 2017-2022
Table 21 Distribution of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Format: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 22 Distribution of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Format and Category: % Volume 2022
Table 23 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: Volume 2022-2027
Table 24 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 25 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2022-2027
Table 26 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Table 27 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 28 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 29 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 30 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: Volume 2022-2027
Table 32 Forecast Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2022-2027

APPENDIX

Fountain sales in New Zealand -Trends

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

Summary 1 Research Sources

CARBONATES IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

Housebound New Zealanders drive off-trade consumption of carbonates
Rising health-consciousness amongst consumers drives migration to reduced sugar carbonates
On-trade consumption of carbonates begins to recover as the pandemic eases

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Health-conscious younger consumers less likely to purchase sugary carbonates
Off-trade volume growth of tonic water/bitters/other mixers to be minimal as New Zealanders drink less alcohol
New products to appeal to adults as New Zealand’s birth rate continues to fall

CATEGORY DATA

Table 33 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: Volume 2017-2022
Table 34 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: Value 2017-2022
Table 35 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 36 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 37 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 38 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 39 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 40 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 41 Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: Volume 2017-2022
Table 42 Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 43 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 44 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 45 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Value 2018-2022
Table 46 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Value 2019-2022
Table 47 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 48 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 49 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 50 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Table 51 Forecast Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: Volume 2022-2027
Table 52 Forecast Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2022-2027

JUICE IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

Consumers trade up to not-from-concentrate 100% juice as they migrate to fresh, healthy options
New Zealanders embrace unique flavour combinations as they search for stimulation during the pandemic
Manufacturers offer watered-down juice options to lower the sugar content

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Inflationary pressures expected to temper the trend towards premiumisation
Low birth rate expected to put downwards pressure on juice
On-trade a potential new source of growth

CATEGORY DATA

Table 53 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 54 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 55 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 56 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 57 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 58 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 59 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Value 2018-2022
Table 60 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Value 2019-2022
Table 61 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 62 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 63 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 64 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027

BOTTLED WATER IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

Bottled water continues to receive a boost from working from home
New Zealanders embrace sparkling flavoured bottled water to make drinking water more exciting
On-trade sales of bottled water rebound as New Zealand opens up again

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Off-trade bottled water to decline as New Zealanders return to the office
Bottled water consumption will increasingly skew towards carbonated and flavoured options
Reopening of foodservice set to put downwards pressure on off-trade consumption of bottled water

CATEGORY DATA

Table 65 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 66 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 67 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 68 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 69 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 70 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 71 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Value 2018-2022
Table 72 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Value 2019-2022
Table 73 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 74 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 75 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 76 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027

SPORTS DRINKS IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

Health-conscious New Zealanders exercise, stimulating sales of sports drinks
Growth in reduced sugar sports drinks boosted by new product launches
Powerade continues to dominate sports drinks in New Zealand

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Reduced sugar sports drinks to expand the appeal of the category, preventing it from returning to decline
Growth in sports drinks fuelled by post-pandemic workouts
Powerade Active Water expands the appeal of sports drinks to “everyone”

CATEGORY DATA

Table 77 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Volume 2017-2022
Table 78 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Value 2017-2022
Table 79 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 80 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 81 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 82 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 83 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Value 2018-2022
Table 84 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Value 2019-2022
Table 85 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Volume 2022-2027
Table 86 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Value 2022-2027
Table 87 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 88 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Value Growth 2022-2027

ENERGY DRINKS IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

New Zealanders embrace energy drinks as a means of powering through the pandemic
Reduced sugar energy drinks gains ground in 2022
On-trade consumption of energy drinks driven by New Zealand’s reopening

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Energy drinks expected to expand appeal through reduced sugar variants
Flavour innovations to drive growth as consumers embrace fruity flavours
Downwards pressure expected from lack of population growth and a less intense partying culture

CATEGORY DATA

Table 89 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Volume 2017-2022
Table 90 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Value 2017-2022
Table 91 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 92 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 93 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 94 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 95 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Value 2018-2022
Table 96 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Value 2019-2022
Table 97 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Volume 2022-2027
Table 98 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Value 2022-2027
Table 99 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 100 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Value Growth 2022-2027

CONCENTRATES IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

The convenience of concentrates provides a boost to growth during the pandemic
New Zealanders treat themselves with caramel concentrates and bubble tea kits
Concentrates experiences premiumisation, increasing its appeal to adults

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Liquid concentrates expected to grow as adults continue to treat themselves
Pandemic boost for powder concentrates only temporary, with decline expected in the forecast period
The at-home convenience offered by concentrates will be less of an advantage post-pandemic

CATEGORY DATA

Concentrates conversions
Summary 2 Concentrates Conversion Factors for Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Format
Table 101 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 102 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 103 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 104 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 105 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2019-2022
Table 106 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Concentrates: % Value 2018-2022
Table 107 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Concentrates: % Value 2019-2022
Table 108 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Liquid Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2018-2022
Table 109 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Liquid Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2019-2022
Table 110 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Powder Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2018-2022
Table 111 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Powder Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2019-2022
Table 112 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 113 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 114 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 115 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027

RTD TEA IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

As a sugar-free soft drink, kombucha continues to attract consumers
Lack of innovation holds still RTD tea back
Kombucha develops into a duopoly between Remedy Drinks and Lo Bros

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Growth expected to be driven by carbonated RTD tea and kombucha
Kombucha expected to attract consumers looking for an alternative to alcoholic drinks
Growth of carbonated RTD tea and kombucha set to slow due to competition from other sugar-free beverages

CATEGORY DATA

Table 116 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 117 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 118 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 119 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 120 Leading Flavours for Off-trade RTD Tea: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 121 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 122 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 123 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Value 2018-2022
Table 124 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Value 2019-2022
Table 125 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 126 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 127 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 128 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027

RTD COFFEE IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

The launch of Boss Coffee in New Zealand stimulates growth in RTD coffee
Frucor Suntory’s Boss Coffee dominates supermarket shelves, marginalising competing brands
RTD coffee continues to grow, fuelled by New Zealanders returning to the office

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Growth in RTD coffee to be driven by return to commuting
Competition could potentially intensify as supermarkets expand their RTD coffee ranges
RTD coffee to experience competition from coffee flavours in flavoured milk drinks

CATEGORY DATA

Table 129 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Volume 2017-2022
Table 130 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Value 2017-2022
Table 131 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 132 Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 133 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade RTD Coffee: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 134 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade RTD Coffee: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 135 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade RTD Coffee: % Value 2018-2022
Table 136 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade RTD Coffee: % Value 2019-2022
Table 137 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Volume 2022-2027
Table 138 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: Value 2022-2027
Table 139 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 140 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Coffee: % Value Growth 2022-2027

ASIAN SPECIALITY DRINKS IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS

2022 DEVELOPMENTS

Asian speciality drinks cater to New Zealand’s large Asian community
Growth slow to recover in 2022 due to lack of Asian migrants

PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES

Lack of immigration will continue to limit the growth of Asian speciality drinks
Distribution expected to be largely limited to specialist Asian grocery stores