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Future of the Iraqi Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

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    Report

  • 97 Pages
  • November 2018
  • Region: Iraq
  • GlobalData
  • ID: 4726833
Future of the Iraqi Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Summary

"Future of the Iraqi Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023" provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

This report offers detailed analysis of the Iraqi defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -
  • The defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Iraqi defense industry during 2019-2023, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns

  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

  • Porter’s Five Force analysis of the Iraqi defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years

  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years

  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Iraqi defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.


Scope
  • Iraqi military expenditure values US$6.4 billion in 2018 and registered a CAGR of -5.76% during 2014-2018.

  • The decline in the defense budget during the historic period is primarily due to the country’s heavy reliance on oil and gas revenues to fund its expansive defense modernization programs.

  • Therefore, the severe erosion of global oil and gas prices during 2016-2017 adversely impacted the country’s defense spending capability and forced it to cut back on its defense spending.


Reasons to Buy
  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Iraqi defense industry market trends for the coming five years

  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Iraqi defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter’s Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts.

Table of Contents

1. Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. About
2. Executive Summary
3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Current Market Scenario
3.1.1. Primary threat perception
3.1.2. Military Doctrine & Strategy
3.1.3. Military Fleet Size
3.1.4. Procurement Programs
3.1.5. Top Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million) 2018-2023
3.1.6. Social, Political and Economic Environment & Support for Defense Projects
3.1.7. Political and Strategic Alliances
3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.2.1. Iraqi annual defense expenditure to reach US$8.7 billion by 2023
3.2.2. US Military and Security Aid
3.2.3. Territorial disputes and the war against terrorism are expected to drive defense expenditure
3.2.4. Iraq’s defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to decrease over 2019-2023
3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.3.1. Capital expenditure share to average 23.6% over the forecast period
3.3.2. Capital expenditure to increase over the forecast period
3.3.3. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period
3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.4.1. Allocation for the police forms the major component of the country’s homeland security expenditure
3.4.2. Fighting terrorism, controlling sectarian violence, and oil infrastructure protection will be the key factors driving homeland security
3.4.3. Iraq is considered to be the country “worst affected” by terrorism
3.4.4. Iraq is the most terror prone country in the world
3.4.5. Iraq has a terrorism index score of “10.0”
3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.5.1. Iraqi defense expenditure expected to record a CAGR of 5.56% over 2019-2023
3.5.2. Iraqi defense expenditure is low compared to other major defense spenders
3.5.3. Iraq’s defense expenditure is anticipated to reach 3.0% of GDP in 2023
3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.6.1. Top 10 Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million) - Projections Over 2018-2023
3.6.2. Military Infrastructure and Logistics-Infrastructure Construction
3.6.3. Land-based C4ISR
3.6.4. Military Infrastructure and Logistics-Facilities Management
4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports projected to increase over the forecast period
4.1.2. The US and Russia were the leading suppliers of arms during 2013-2017
4.1.3. Aircraft and armored vehicles accounted for the majority of defense imports between 2013 and 2017
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Iraq’s defense export market is negligible
5. Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining Power of the Supplier: Medium
5.1.2. Bargaining Power of the Buyer: Medium
5.1.3. Barriers to Entry: Low
5.1.4. Intensity of Rivalry: Medium to High
5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: Medium to High
6. Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. The Iraqi government allows FDI in the defense industry
6.1.2. Iraq has not disclosed any offset obligations
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Budgeting Process
6.2.2. Procurement Policy and Process
6.2.3. Government to government deals are an attractive entry route to the country’s defense market
6.2.4. Establishment of representative office obtains eligibility for participating in procurement tenders
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption acts as an obstacle for market entry
6.3.2. Lack of skilled labor
7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.1.1. Top Defense Suppliers in Iraqi Defense Industry by Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023
7.1.2. Iraqi defense sector is dominated by foreign competitors
7.2. Key Foreign Companies
7.2.1. General Dynamics Corporation: Overview
7.2.2. General Dynamics Corporation: Products
7.2.3. General Dynamics Corporation: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.4. General Dynamics Corporation: Alliances
7.2.5. General Dynamics Corporation: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.6. Lockheed Martin: Overview
7.2.7. Lockheed Martin: Products
7.2.8. Lockheed Martin: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.9. Lockheed Martin: Alliances
7.2.10. Lockheed Martin: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.11. BAE Systems Plc: Overview
7.2.12. BAE Systems Plc: Products and Services
7.2.13. BAE Systems Plc: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.14. BAE Systems Plc: Alliances
7.2.15. BAE Systems Plc: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.16. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc: Overview
7.2.17. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc: Products and Services
7.2.18. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.19. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc: Alliances
7.2.20. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.21. Raytheon: Overview
7.2.22. Raytheon: Products
7.2.23. Raytheon: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.24. Raytheon: Alliances
7.2.25. Raytheon: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.26. Raytheon: Financial Analysis
8. Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Economic Performance
8.1.1. GDP Per Capita
8.1.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Trillion)
8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Trillion)
8.1.5. Local Currency Unit per US$
8.1.6. Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP
8.1.7. Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP
8.1.8. Service Imports as a Percentage of GDP
8.1.9. Service Exports as a Percentage of GDP
8.1.10. Foreign Direct Investment
8.1.11. Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP
8.1.12. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
9. Appendix
9.1. About
9.2. Disclaimer
List of Tables
Table 1: Iraq - Land Forces Strength, 2018
Table 2: Iraq - Navy Strength, 2018
Table 3: Iraq - Air Force Strength, 2018
Table 4: Iraq - Ongoing Procurement Programs, 2018
Table 5: Iraq - Future Procurement Programs, 2018
Table 6: Iraq - Defense Procurement Programs by Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023
Table 7: Iraq - Defense Expenditure (IQD Trillion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023
Table 8: Iraq - Defense Expenditure Including US Aid, 2014-2018
Table 9: Iraq - GDP Growth vs Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2014-2023
Table 10: Iraq - Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023
Table 11: Iraq - Defense Capital Expenditure (IQD Trillion & US$ Billion), 2014-2023
Table 12: Iraq - Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023
Table 13: Iraq - Homeland Security Expenditure (IQD Trillion / US$ Billion), 2014-2023
Table 14: Terrorism Index, 2018
Table 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023
Table 16: Top Iraqi - Defense Market Sectors by Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023
Table 17: Iraq’s Budget Process
Table 18: Top Defense Suppliers in Iraqi Defense Industry - By Value (US$ Million), 2018-2023
Table 19: Competitive Landscape of the Iraqi Defense Industry
Table 20: General Dynamics Corporation - Products
Table 21: General Dynamics Corporation - Alliances
Table 22: General Dynamics Corporation - Recent Contract Wins
Table 23: Lockheed Martin - Products
Table 24: Lockheed Martin - Alliances
Table 25: Lockheed Martin - Recent Contract Wins
Table 26: BAE Systems Plc - Products and Services
Table 27: BAE Systems Plc - Alliances
Table 28: BAE Systems Plc - Recent Contract Wins
Table 29: Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc - Products and Services
Table 30: Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc - Alliances
Table 31: Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc - Recent Contract Wins
Table 32: Raytheon - Products
Table 33: Raytheon - Alliances
Table 34: Raytheon - Recent Contract Wins
List of Figures
Figure 1: Iraq - Defense Expenditure (IQD Trillion), 2014-2023
Figure 2: Iraq - Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023
Figure 3: Iraq - US Military and Security Aid (US$ Million), 2014-2018
Figure 4: Iraq - Defense Expenditure Including US Aid (US$ Billion), 2014-2018
Figure 5: Iraq - Defense Budget Excluding US Aid (US$ Billion) vs Defense Budget Including US Aid (US$ Billion), 2014-2018
Figure 6: Iraq - GDP Growth vs Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2023
Figure 7: Iraq - Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023
Figure 8: Iraq - Defense Capital Expenditure (IQD Trillion), 2014-2023
Figure 9: Iraq - Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2014-2023
Figure 10: Iraq - Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2014-2023
Figure 11: Iraq - Homeland Security Budget (IQD Trillion), 2014-2023
Figure 12: Iraq - Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2014-2023
Figure 13: Terrorism Heat Map, 2018
Figure 14: Terrorism Index, 2018
Figure 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2014-2018 vs 2019-2023
Figure 16: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2018 and 2023
Figure 17: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2018
Figure 18: Military Infrastructure and Logistics-Infrastructure Construction Market Size (US$ Million), 2018-2023
Figure 19: C4ISR - Land-based Market Size (US$ Million), 2018-2023
Figure 20: Military Infrastructure and Logistics - Facilities Management Market Size (US$ Million), 2018-2023
Figure 21: Top Iraq Defense Procurements in Terms of Supplier Relationships
Figure 22: Iraq - Defense Import Trend (US$ Million), 2013-2017 (TIV Values)
Figure 23: Iraq - Defense Imports by Country (%), 2013-2017
Figure 24: Iraq - Defense Imports by Category (%), 2013-2017
Figure 25: Industry Dynamics Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
Figure 26: Raytheon - Revenue Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017
Figure 27: Raytheon - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017
Figure 28: Raytheon - Net Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Billion), 2013-2017
Figure 29: Iraq - GDP Per Capita (US$), 2015-2025
Figure 30: Iraq - GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2025
Figure 31: Iraq - Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Trillion), 2005-2014
Figure 32: Iraq - Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Trillion), 2005-2014
Figure 33: Iraq - Local Currency per US$ Exchange Rate, 2015-2024
Figure 34: Iraq - Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
Figure 35: Iraq - Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
Figure 36: Iraq - Service Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
Figure 37: Iraq - Service Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
Figure 38: Iraq - Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2005-2012
Figure 39: Iraq - Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
Figure 40: Iraq - Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Trillion), 2005-2014

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • General Dynamics Corporation

  • Lockheed Martin

  • BAE Systems Plc

  • Bell Helicopter Textron

  • Raytheon