The buy now pay later market in the country has experienced robust growth during 2022-2025, achieving a CAGR of 28.3%. This upward trajectory is expected to continue, with the market forecast to grow at a CAGR of 21.1% from 2026-2031. By the end of 2031, the BNPL sector is projected to expand from its 2025 value of USD 1.92 billion to approximately USD 6.31 billion.
Key Trends and Drivers
Embedding BNPL into Dominant Marketplaces and Payment Journeys
- BNPL in Poland is increasingly embedded inside large ecommerce ecosystems rather than offered as standalone apps. Allegro’s BNPL arm (Allegro Pay), PayPo, Twisto and bank-linked deferred payment tools are integrated directly at checkout on major platforms and online stores. A 2025 mBank-CASE seminar notes that firms such as PayPo, Twisto and Allegro Pay are driving fast BNPL uptake, with nearly 2 million Poles having used BNPL by end-2023.
- Payment gateways and wallets, including Przelewy24, PayU and domestic schemes such as BLIK, now routinely present deferred payments and instalments alongside card and fast transfer options. A 2025 ecommerce study for the Polish Chamber of Digital Economy highlights that deferred payments are among the “modern” options whose absence leads to cart abandonment.
- High ecommerce penetration and mobile usage: By 2025, 93% of Polish internet users had shopped online in the prior six months, with most recent purchases already skewed toward smartphones. Merchants therefore prioritize payment options that are embedded, mobile-friendly and quick to approve.
- Marketplace dominance: Allegro remains the leading marketplace in Poland, and its own BNPL product (Allegro Pay) is positioned as a core part of the purchasing flow, reinforcing BNPL visibility on everyday purchases.
- PSP competition: Payment service providers and gateways compete on conversion, pushing them to add flexible pay-later options into existing BLIK/fast transfer flows to reduce checkout friction.
- BNPL is likely to become a standard part of the Polish online checkout, particularly in fashion, electronics, and marketplaces. Marketplace-anchored BNPL (e.g., Allegro Pay) and PSP-powered deferred payment options will consolidate share, making it harder for new standalone apps to gain scale without deep integrations. As omnichannel shopping grows, embedding BNPL into loyalty apps, marketplace cards, and POS terminals will expand its use in physical stores, further entrenching it in everyday purchasing journeys.
Reinforcing BNPL Oversight through Consumer Credit and Supervisory Rules
- BNPL is increasingly treated as a regulated credit product rather than a purely “payment convenience”. A 2025 legal overview notes that BNPL generally falls under Poland’s Consumer Credit Act; interest-free BNPL can be exempt only under narrow conditions, and providers may be treated as lending companies subject to KNF registration from 2024.
- At the EU level, the revised Consumer Credit Directive (CCD II) now explicitly extends to many interest-free and short-term credit products, including BNPL, tightening disclosure and affordability obligations. Polish providers are adapting product structures and information flows in anticipation of national implementation.
- Alignment with EU standards: CCD II requires stricter pre-contract information, advertising rules, and creditworthiness checks for small-ticket, interest-free credit, pushing Polish legislators and supervisors to close perceived gaps in BNPL oversight.
- Formalization of fintech lending: Broader fintech guidance highlights that licensing, AML/KYC, and consumer-protection rules are becoming more complex and time-consuming, nudging unregulated or lightly regulated BNPL models toward full licensing or partnerships with licensed entities.
- BNPL providers will need bank-grade affordability assessments, clearer fee structures, and robust pre-contract disclosures, which will increase compliance costs and favour scaled players (marketplaces, banks, well-capitalized fintechs). Some low-margin “free” BNPL offers may be re-priced or simplified to meet cost caps and disclosure requirements. New entrants are likely to come via regulated channels, banks, licensed lenders and PSPs rather than lightly supervised startups, reinforcing a more concentrated and supervised BNPL market.
Extending BNPL Usage into Instalments, Higher-Ticket Purchases and B2B Flows
- BNPL in Poland is moving beyond short 30-45-day deferrals on low-value consumer purchases towards- longer-tenor instalment plans for higher-ticket goods (electronics, appliances, home improvement) and deferred payment solutions for SMEs and B2B ecommerce. The 2025 mBank-CASE seminar notes fast BNPL growth across Polish ecommerce, with providers like PayPo, Twisto, and Allegro Pay expanding scope and integrating with banks such as PKO BP.
- A 2025 PragmaGO article describes BNPL for companies, including Allegro Pay Business, in which PragmaGO finances B2B purchases, and merchants receive funds immediately, indicating that BNPL logic is being applied to business invoices and procurement. Merchant demand for basket uplift and conversion: Polish ecommerce research shows that a lack of deferred payment options often triggers cart abandonment; PragmaGO cites data showing that many consumers abandoned carts when BNPL was unavailable, incentivizing merchants to offer instalment options to protect sales.
- Working capital needs of SMEs: B2B buyers use BNPL-type solutions to align procurement with cash-in cycles, reducing dependence on traditional credit lines and factoring. Product evolution by incumbents: Marketplace and bank providers are extending from simple “pay in 30 days” into structured instalments over several months, especially on higher-value categories, to compete with traditional consumer loans.
- BNPL will become a standard instalment channel for mid- to high-ticket ecommerce and selected offline purchases, sitting alongside consumer loans and card instalments. B2B BNPL is likely to expand across marketplaces and vertical platforms (e.g., building materials, wholesale, equipment), making deferred payments part of SME cash flow management. As CCD II is transposed, these longer-tenor and B2B-adjacent models will face more detailed documentation and affordability checks, pushing providers to refine risk models, especially for micro-businesses.
Raising Consumer Awareness of BNPL-Related Debt Risks and Responsible Use
- Public authorities and large platforms in Poland are actively promoting financial literacy around pay-later services. The campaign’s reach is amplified via partners such as Amazon.pl and national media, which emphasize that deferred payments, while convenient, can harm creditworthiness if misused. Academic and policy work (e.g., the 2025 mBank-CASE seminar) similarly frames BNPL as bringing both opportunities and threats for consumers, particularly younger cohorts.
- Macroeconomic pressure: Elevated inflation and interest rates in recent years have increased sensitivity to household debt burdens, pushing regulators and policymakers to limit new sources of over-indebtedness.
- High awareness and growing usage: The 2025 “Omni-commerce. Buying Comfortably” study finds that deferred payments are gaining traction among Polish online shoppers, with nearly half of those aware believing they could eventually replace credit cards.
- Regulatory messaging coherence: Consumer-protection campaigns, CCD II provisions and credit-bureau participation by BNPL providers all point in the same direction, treating BNPL like other credit in terms of risk, disclosure and reporting.
- BNPL growth is likely to remain positive but more controlled, with higher-quality underwriting and more cautious consumer behaviour, especially among older, more risk-aware segments. Providers will need to invest in clearer communication of repayment schedules, aggregation of multiple BNPL commitments and tools such as reminders and budget dashboards to align with UOKiK’s messaging. Over time, responsible-use campaigns and credit-bureau reporting should reduce extreme debt-stress cases, but may also limit the most aggressive marketing and rapid-fire repeat usage that drove the earliest BNPL expansion.
Competitive Landscape
Competition will intensify around regulated, bank-linked and marketplace-embedded BNPL models. Larger players with underwriting scale and strong merchant distribution, particularly Allegro Pay, PayPo and leading banks, are positioned to consolidate share. PSP-enabled pay-later options will widen BNPL availability across retailers. Regulation will favour well-capitalized providers, reinforcing a more stable but concentrated market structure.Current State of the Market
- BNPL in Poland operates in a concentrated but expanding ecosystem, shaped by marketplace-led offers, fintech BNPL providers, and banks integrating instalment tools at checkout. Competition is strongest in ecommerce, where Allegro Pay has a structural advantage through Allegro’s dominant marketplace position. Independent providers such as PayPo and Twisto remain widely integrated across online retailers and PSPs, giving them broad merchant reach.
- Banks primarily offer card-linked instalments and deferred payment features rather than standalone BNPL products. Regulatory tightening under the Consumer Credit Act and the upcoming CCD II have increased compliance focus, reinforcing competition on underwriting quality and transparency rather than on promotional pricing.
Key Players and New Entrants
- Allegro Pay, PayPo and Twisto form the core competitive field. Allegro Pay benefits from embedded placement within Allegro’s platform and from ongoing credit line expansions. PayPo maintains integrations with fashion, electronics and lifestyle retailers, supported by strong PSP partnerships.
- Twisto, backed by Zip, continues operating in Poland through ecommerce partnerships and wallet-style pay-later tools. Banks such as mBank, PKO BP and ING offer instalment options on cards and in online banking, positioning themselves as regulated alternatives. New standalone BNPL entrants remain limited due to higher capital and licensing requirements, with most new activity occurring through PSPs adding deferred payment modules to merchant checkout flows.
Recent Launches, Mergers, and Acquisitions
- Over the past year, Allegro has expanded eligibility for Allegro Pay and increased credit limits, strengthening its marketplace-anchored BNPL offering. PayPo and Twisto have launched additional merchant integrations, including with large ecommerce stores and PSPs. There have been no major BNPL-specific acquisitions in Poland recently, though earlier ownership changes, such as Twisto’s acquisition by Zip, continue to shape operational priorities. Banks have introduced incremental product upgrades, such as faster approval flows and integration of instalments directly into mobile-banking journeys.
It breaks down market opportunities by type of business model, sales channels (offline and online), and distribution models. In addition, it provides a snapshot of consumer behaviour and retail spending dynamics. KPIs in both value and volume terms help in getting an in-depth understanding of end market dynamics.
The research methodology is based on industry best practices. Its unbiased analysis leverages a proprietary analytics platform to offer a detailed view of emerging business and investment market opportunities.
Report Scope
This report provides in-depth, data-centric analysis of Buy Now Pay Later industry in Russia through 58 tables and 82 charts. Below is a summary of key market segments.Russia Retail Industry & Ecommerce Market Size and Forecast
- Retail Industry - Spend Value Trend Analysis
- Buy Now Pay Later Share of Retail Industry
- Ecommerce - Spend Value Trend Analysis
- Buy Now Pay Later Share of Ecommerce
Russia Buy Now Pay Later Market Size and Industry Attractiveness
- Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis
- Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis
- Transaction Volume Trend Analysis
- Market Share Analysis by Key Players
Russia Buy Now Pay Later Revenue Analysis
- Buy Now Pay Later Revenues
- Buy Now Pay Later Share by Revenue Segments
- Buy Now Pay Later Revenue by Merchant Commission
- Buy Now Pay Later Revenue by Missed Payment Fee Revenue
- Buy Now Pay Later Revenue by Pay Now & Other Income
Russia Buy Now Pay Later Operational KPIs
- Buy Now Pay Later Active Consumer Base
- Buy Now Pay Later Bad Debt
Russia Buy Now Pay Later Spend Analysis by Business Model
- Two-Party Business Model
- Third-Party Business Model
Russia Buy Now Pay Later Spend Analysis by Purpose
- Convenience
- Credit
Russia Buy Now Pay Later Spend Analysis by Merchant Ecosystem
- Open Loop System
- Closed Loop System
Russia Buy Now Pay Later Spend Analysis by Distribution Model
- Standalone
- Banks & Payment Service Providers
- Marketplaces
Russia Buy Now Pay Later Spend Analysis by Channel
- Online Channel
- POS Channel
Russia Buy Now Pay Later By End-Use Sector: Market Size and Forecast
- Retail Shopping
- Home Improvement
- Travel
- Media and Entertainment
- Services
- Automotive
- Health Care and Wellness
- Others
Russia Buy Now Pay Later By Retail Product Category: Market Size and Forecast
- Apparel, Footwear & Accessories
- Consumer Electronics
- Toys, Kids, and Babies
- Jewelry
- Sporting Goods
- Entertainment & Gaming
- Other
Russia Buy Now Pay Later Analysis by Consumer Attitude and Behaviour
- Spend Share by Age Group
- Spend Share by Default Rate by Age Group
- Spend Share by Income
- Gross Merchandise Value Share by Gender
- Adoption Rationale
- Spend by Monthly Expense Segments
- Average Number of Transactions per User Annually
- BNPL Users as a Percentage of Total Adult Population
Reasons to Buy
- Strategic and Innovation Insights: Gain clarity on the future direction of Russia's Buy Now Pay Later market by analysing strategic initiatives, business model evolution, and innovation-led approaches adopted by key BNPL providers to strengthen market positioning.
- Comprehensive Understanding of BNPL Market Dynamics in Russia: Assess market size, growth outlook, and structural shifts across retail and e-commerce, supported by detailed segmentation by channel, business model, distribution model, merchant ecosystem, end-use sector, and consumer demographics, underpinned by 90+ KPIs.
- Value and Volume-Based KPIs for Market Accuracy: Leverage a robust set of value and volume KPIs, including GMV, average transaction value, transaction volume, active users, revenue, and bad debt, to develop a precise understanding of BNPL adoption, usage intensity, and market maturity.
- Competitive Landscape Assessment: Obtain a clear snapshot of the BNPL competitive landscape in Russia, including market share analysis of leading providers, enabling informed benchmarking and evaluation of market concentration and competitive intensity.
- Actionable Inputs for Market Entry and Expansion Strategies: Identify high-growth categories, priority end-use sectors, and distribution channels to fine-tune go-to-market and partnership strategies, while assessing key trends, regulatory considerations, and risk factors shaping the BNPL ecosystem.
- In-Depth Consumer Behaviour Analysis: Enhance ROI by understanding evolving consumer attitudes and spending behaviour, with insights into BNPL adoption drivers, usage frequency, income and age-based usage patterns, gender splits, and monthly expense segmentation.
Table of Contents
Companies Mentioned
- SberPay Later
- Tinkoff Pay
- Yandex Pay Later (Split)
- Dolyame
Table Information
| Report Attribute | Details |
|---|---|
| No. of Pages | 101 |
| Published | January 2026 |
| Forecast Period | 2026 - 2031 |
| Estimated Market Value ( USD | $ 2.42 Billion |
| Forecasted Market Value ( USD | $ 6.31 Billion |
| Compound Annual Growth Rate | 21.1% |
| Regions Covered | Russia |
| No. of Companies Mentioned | 4 |


