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Dairy Products and Alternatives in New Zealand

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    Report

  • 68 Pages
  • September 2025
  • Region: New Zealand
  • Euromonitor International
  • ID: 5576766
In 2025, dairy products and alternatives in New Zealand recorded steady value growth, largely driven by significant price inflation. Rising production and supply chain costs, alongside broader economic pressures, contributed to sustained increases in dairy prices. Additionally, strong global demand for New Zealand dairy exports further exacerbated price hikes for local consumers.

The Dairy Products and Alternatives in New Zealand report offers in-depth knowledge of the market at a national level, providing local insight and understanding unavailable elsewhere. In addition to the latest retail sales data 2020-2024, it identifies the leading companies, brands and retail outlets, and assesses the key trends and demographic shifts behind consumer demand and sales growth. How key trends such as health and wellness, sustainability and recovery from the pandemic are currently shaping the market along with prospects for the next five years, clearly indicating how the market is expected to change.

Product coverage: Baby Food, Dairy, Plant-based Dairy.

Data coverage: Market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.

Why buy this report?

  • Get a detailed picture of the Dairy Products and Alternatives market;
  • Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change;
  • Understand the competitive environment, the market’s major players and leading brands;
  • Use five-year forecasts to assess how the market is predicted to develop.

Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
  • Dairy products and alternatives in 2025: The big picture
  • Key trends in 2025
  • Competitive Landscape
  • Channel developments
  • What next for dairy products and alternatives?
MARKET DATA
  • Table 1 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2020-2025
  • Table 2 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 3 NBO Company Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2021-2025
  • Table 4 LBN Brand Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2022-2025
  • Table 5 Penetration of Private Label by Category: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 6 Distribution of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Format: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 7 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2025-2030
  • Table 8 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030
DISCLAIMER
SOURCES
  • Summary 1 Research Sources
BABY FOOD IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS
2025 DEVELOPMENTS
  • Steady value growth due to stable demand for baby food and milk formula
  • Nutricia Ltd consolidating its stronger leadership position with its brand Karicare
  • Supermarkets remain the go-to destination for baby food and infant formula products
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • A positive outlook is expected, however, the declining birth rate will pose a challenge
  • Innovation through health and wellness may help differentiate brands
  • Retail e-commerce remains key for smaller businesses to find a niche customer base
CATEGORY DATA
  • Table 9 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2020-2025
  • Table 10 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2020-2025
  • Table 11 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 12 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 13 Sales of Growing-Up Milk Formula by Age: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 14 NBO Company Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2021-2025
  • Table 15 LBN Brand Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2022-2025
  • Table 16 Distribution of Baby Food by Format: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2025-2030
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2025-2030
  • Table 19 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
  • Table 20 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030
BUTTER AND SPREADS IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS
2025 DEVELOPMENTS
  • Price continues to drive value growth as consumption of butter and spreads declines
  • Private labels benefit from lower price points amidst high inflation
  • Supermarkets remains the leading distribution channel for butter and spreads
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • Steady growth is expected as inflation eases and spending stabilises
  • Health concerns will remain a significant challenge for growth across the forecast period
  • The versatility of butter could drive growth as consumers seek cost-effective products
CATEGORY DATA
  • Table 21 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2020-2025
  • Table 22 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2020-2025
  • Table 23 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 24 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 25 NBO Company Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2021-2025
  • Table 26 LBN Brand Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2022-2025
  • Table 27 Distribution of Butter and Spreads by Format: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 28 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2025-2030
  • Table 29 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2025-2030
  • Table 30 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
  • Table 31 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030
CHEESE IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS
2025 DEVELOPMENTS
  • High global demand drives up the price of cheese in New Zealand
  • Fonterra Brands (NZ) consolidates its leading position as a premier producer of New Zealand cheese
  • Supermarkets remain highly favoured by consumers as retail e-commerce increases its share
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • The high price of cheese is expected to support value growth over the forecast period
  • Cheese will be positioned as a healthy choice, aligning with rising demands
  • Rising opportunities for imported cheese amid rising local prices in New Zealand
CATEGORY DATA
  • Table 32 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2020-2025
  • Table 33 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2020-2025
  • Table 34 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 35 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 36 Sales of Spreadable Cheese by Type: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 37 Sales of Soft Cheese by Type: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 38 Sales of Hard Cheese by Type: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 39 NBO Company Shares of Cheese: % Value 2021-2025
  • Table 40 LBN Brand Shares of Cheese: % Value 2022-2025
  • Table 41 Distribution of Cheese by Format: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2025-2030
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2025-2030
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030
DRINKING MILK PRODUCTS IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS
2025 DEVELOPMENTS
  • Rising prices drive value growth while consumers cut back on consumption
  • Foodstuffs (NZ) Ltd retains its lead while private label increases its share
  • Offline retailing remains prominent, however retail e-commerce gains ground
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • Demand for milk is expected to be tempered by price inflation and changing lifestyles
  • Health and wellness is set to remain a key focus of innovation and growth
  • Rebuilding consumers’ confidence amid environmental concerns in dairy
CATEGORY DATA
  • Table 46 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2020-2025
  • Table 47 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2020-2025
  • Table 48 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 49 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 50 NBO Company Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2021-2025
  • Table 51 LBN Brand Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2022-2025
  • Table 52 Distribution of Drinking Milk Products by Format: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 53 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2025-2030
  • Table 54 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2025-2030
  • Table 55 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
  • Table 56 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030
YOGHURT AND SOUR MILK PRODUCTS IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS
2025 DEVELOPMENTS
  • Price inflation drives growth for yoghurt and sour milk products during 2025
Goodman Fielder New Zealand leads, followed by Fonterra Brands NZ
  • Limited movement in distribution as consumers have a strong preference for offline retailing
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • Yoghurt and sour milk products are expected to record price-driven growth
  • Health and wellness claims are expected to help drive the performance of yoghurt
  • Potential growth opportunities for drinking yoghurt as a convenient alternative
CATEGORY DATA
  • Table 57 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2020-2025
  • Table 58 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2020-2025
  • Table 59 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 60 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 61 Sales of Flavoured Yoghurt by Flavour: Rankings 2020-2025
  • Table 62 NBO Company Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2021-2025
  • Table 63 LBN Brand Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2022-2025
  • Table 64 Distribution of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Format: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 65 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2025-2030
  • Table 66 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2025-2030
  • Table 67 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030
OTHER DAIRY IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS
2025 DEVELOPMENTS
  • Low-level growth due to high inflation and reduced consumer spending
  • Fonterra Brands (NZ) Ltd retains its lead of other dairy with its brand Anchor
  • Limited movement in distribution as most consumers prefer supermarkets
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • Decelerating growth expected for other dairy amidst declining consumer demand
  • Other dairy is set to face challenges aligning with health and wellness trends
  • Limited innovation and a stagnating competitive landscape may impact future growth
CATEGORY DATA
  • Table 69 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2020-2025
  • Table 70 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2020-2025
  • Table 71 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 72 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 73 Sales of Cream by Type: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 74 NBO Company Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2021-2025
  • Table 75 LBN Brand Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2022-2025
  • Table 76 Distribution of Other Dairy by Format: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 77 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2025-2030
  • Table 78 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2025-2030
  • Table 79 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2025-2030
  • Table 80 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030
PLANT-BASED DAIRY IN NEW ZEALANDKEY DATA FINDINGS
2025 DEVELOPMENTS
  • Plant-based dairy products maintain strong growth with consistent consumer demand
  • Top brands maintain the leading positions while private label gains ground
  • Supermarkets lead distribution as convenience retailers gain ground
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • Ongoing demand for plant-based products is set to support steady growth
  • New product development is set to focus on enhancing the health benefits of plant-based dairy
  • Innovation is set to drive growth in plant-based dairy across the forecast period
CATEGORY DATA
  • Table 81 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2020-2025
  • Table 82 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
  • Table 83 Sales of Other Plant-Based Milk by Type: % Value 2022-2025
  • Table 84 NBO Company Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2021-2025
  • Table 85 LBN Brand Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2022-2025
  • Table 86 Distribution of Plant-Based Dairy by Format: % Value 2020-2025
  • Table 87 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2025-2030
  • Table 88 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2025-2030