1 Osteoarthritis: Executive Summary
1.1 OA market expected to experience conservative growth from 2021-31
1.2 New players to enter a saturated field
1.3 Clinical unmet needs and opportunities
1.4 DMOADs to expand OA treatment options
1.5 What do physicians think?
2 Introduction
2.1 Catalyst
2.2 Related reports
2.3 Upcoming reports
3 Disease Overview
3.1 Etiology and pathophysiology
3.1.1 Etiology
3.1.2 Pathophysiology
3.1.3 Symptoms
3.2 Classification or staging systems
4 Epidemiology
4.1 Disease background
4.2 Risk factors and comorbidities
4.3 Global and historical trends
4.4 Forecast methodology
4.4.1 Sources used
4.4.2 Forecast assumptions and methods
4.4.3 Forecast assumptions and methods: total prevalent cases (radiographic)
4.4.4 Forecast assumptions and methods: total prevalent cases (symptomatic)
4.4.5 Forecast assumptions and methods: diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic)
4.4.6 Forecast assumptions and methods: diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) by severity
4.5 Epidemiological forecast for OA (2021-31)
4.5.1 Total prevalent cases (radiographic) of hand OA
4.5.2 Total prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hand OA
4.5.3 Diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hand OA
4.5.4 Age-specific diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hand OA
4.5.5 Sex-specific diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hand OA
4.5.6 Diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hand OA by severity
4.5.7 Total prevalent cases (radiographic) of knee OA
4.5.8 Total prevalent cases (symptomatic) of knee OA
4.5.9 Diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of knee OA
4.5.10 Age-specific diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of knee OA
4.5.11 Sex-specific diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of knee OA
4.5.12 Diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of knee OA by severity
4.5.13 Total prevalent cases (radiographic) of hip OA
4.5.14 Total prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hip OA
4.5.15 Diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hip OA
4.5.16 Age-specific diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hip OA
4.5.17 Sex-specific diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hip OA
4.5.18 Diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hip OA by severity
4.6 Discussion
4.6.1 Epidemiological forecast insight
4.6.2 COVID-19 impact
4.6.3 Limitations of analysis
4.6.4 Strengths of analysis
5 Disease Management
5.1 Diagnosis and treatment overview
5.1.1 Diagnosis
5.1.2 Treatment paradigm
5.2 Insights on disease management by location
7 Unmet Needs and Opportunity Assessment
7.1 Overview
7.2 Disease-modifying OA drugs to halt the progression of OA
7.3 Analgesics with improved efficacy and safety profiles
7.4 Therapies to treat OA in patients with comorbid conditions
7.5 Improved patient adherence to non-pharmacological treatments
8 R&D Strategies
8.1 Overview
8.1.1 Development of analgesics with novel MOA to improve tolerability and efficacy
8.1.2 Development of a DMOAD
8.1.3 Development of combination therapy
8.1.4 Strategic partnerships
8.2 Clinical trials design
8.2.1 Limitations of pain and patient-reported outcomes as primary outcomes
8.2.2 Lack of consensus on imaging as a primary endpoint in DMOAD trial design
8.2.3 Improved assessment of joint tissue biology
9 Pipeline Assessment
9.1 Overview
9.2 Promising drugs in clinical development
10 Pipeline Valuation Analysis
10.1 Overview
10.2 Competitive Assessment
10.2.1 Analgesic drugs
10.2.2 DMOAD pipeline therapies
11 Current and Future Players
11.1 Overview
11.2 Deal-making trends
List of Tables
Table 1: Osteoarthritis: key metrics in the 7MM
Table 2: Etiology of OA
Table 3: Kellgren Lawrence Grading System
Table 4: Risk factors and comorbid conditions associated with OA
Table 5: Severity scoring system for classifying the hand, knee, and hip OA using the KL grading scale
Table 6: Current treatment recommendations for hand, knee, and hip osteoarthritis
Table 7: Current treatment options for osteoarthritis
Table 8: Clinical trial design of key pipeline drugs for osteoarthritis, 2022
Table 9: Top completed deals in OA market by value, 2015-22
Table 10: OA market - global (7MM) drivers and barriers, 2021-31
Table 11: Key events impacting sales for OA in the US, 2021-31
Table 12: OA market - drivers and barriers in the US, 2021-31
Table 13: Key events impacting sales for OA in the 5EU, 2021-31
Table 14: OA market - drivers and barriers in the 5EU, 2021-31
Table 15: Key events impacting sales for OA in Japan, 2021-31
Table 16: OA market - drivers and barriers in Japan, 2021-31
Table 17: High-prescribing physicians (non-KOLs) surveyed, by country
List of Figures
Figure 1: Global (7MM) sales forecast by country for osteoarthritis in 2021 and 2031
Figure 2: Analysis of the company portfolio gap in osteoarthritis during the forecast period
Figure 3: Competitive assessment of the late-stage analgesic pipeline agents that the publisher expects to be licensed for the treatment of osteoarthritis during the forecast period
Figure 4: Competitive assessment of the late-stage DMOAD pipeline agents that the publisher expects to be licensed for the treatment of osteoarthritis during the forecast period
Figure 5: Main structures of a healthy joint and a joint affected by OA
Figure 6: 7MM, diagnosed prevalence (symptomatic) (%), hand OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, 2021
Figure 7: 7MM, diagnosed prevalence (symptomatic) (%), knee OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, 2021
Figure 8: 7MM, diagnosed prevalence (symptomatic) (%), hip OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, 2021
Figure 9: 7MM, sources used to forecast the total prevalent cases (radiographic), hand OA
Figure 10: 7MM, sources used to forecast the total prevalent cases (radiographic), knee OA
Figure 11: 7MM, sources used to forecast the total prevalent cases (radiographic), hip OA
Figure 12: 7MM, sources used to forecast the total prevalent cases (symptomatic), hand OA
Figure 13: 7MM, sources used and not used to forecast the total prevalent cases (symptomatic), knee OA
Figure 14: 7MM, sources used and not used to forecast the total prevalent cases (symptomatic), hip OA
Figure 15: 7MM, total prevalent cases (radiographic) of hand OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 16: 7MM, total prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hand OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 17: 7MM, diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hand OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 18: 7MM, age-specific diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hand OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 19: 7MM, sex-specific diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hand OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 20: 7MM, diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hand OA by severity, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 21: 7MM, total prevalent cases (radiographic) of knee OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 22: 7MM, total prevalent cases (symptomatic) of knee OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 23: 7MM, diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of knee OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 24: 7MM, age-specific diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of knee OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 25: 7MM, sex-specific diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of knee OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 26: 7MM, diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of knee OA by severity, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 27: 7MM, total prevalent cases (radiographic) of hip OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 28: 7MM, total prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hip OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 29: 7MM, diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hip OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 30: 7MM, age-specific diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hip OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 31: 7MM, sex-specific diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hip OA, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 32: 7MM, diagnosed prevalent cases (symptomatic) of hip OA by severity, both sexes, ages =18 years, N, 2021
Figure 33: Stepped-care approach for the treatment of OA
Figure 34: Unmet needs and opportunities in osteoarthritis
Figure 35: Overview of the development pipeline in osteoarthritis
Figure 36: Key late-stage trials for the promising pipeline agents that the publisher expects to be licensed for osteoarthritis in the 7MM during 2021-31
Figure 37: Competitive assessment of the analgesic pipeline drugs benchmarked against the standards of care, NSAIDs and corticosteroids
Figure 38: Competitive assessment of the DMOAD pipeline drugs benchmarked against the standards of care, NSAIDs and corticosteroids
Figure 39: Analysis of the company portfolio gap in OA during the forecast period
Figure 40: Global (7MM) sales forecast by country for OA in 2021 and 2031
Figure 41: Sales forecast by class for OA in the US in 2021 and 2031
Figure 42: Sales forecast by class for OA in the 5EU in 2021 and 2031
Figure 43: Sales forecast by class for OA in Japan in 2021 and 2031