Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Outlook 2030

Report
70 Pages
March 2023
Region: Global
cKinetics
ID: 5781604

The Paris agreement which was adopted by 196 parties at COP-21 to limit global warming below 2 degree Celsius and preferably 1.5 degree Celsius by the end of the century, got the countries and companies across the globe to identify solutions to mitigate the greenhouse gas (GHG) emission. One such industry which was identified as hard to decarbonize was aviation.

GHG emissions from aviation industry constitutes nearly 2% of the global GHG emission and approximately 11% of the transportation industry. Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) is a biofuel which is used to power aircrafts and has a similar chemical property to conventional jet fuel albeit with a much lesser carbon footprint.

SAF is manufactured using sustainable feedstocks such as vegetable oil, used cooking oil (UCO), animal fat, biomass, ethanol, municipal solid waste (MSW) and other sustainable feedstock. This helps to reduce the carbon intensity (CI) by up to 80% when used as a blend with conventional aviation turbine fuel (ATF).

Different pathways to produce SAF have different blending options. In some pathways, the SAF produced is a ‘drop-in’ fuel which means its usage (either as a blend or completely replacing aviation turbine fuel) need not change existing equipment or infrastructure.

1. Sustainable Aviation Fuel: Current Status and Expected Growth

1.1 Emergence of Sustainable Aviation Fuel
1.2 SAF market expected to grow 30x in the next 7 years
1.3 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production, 2019-2022
1.4 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production, 2022-2030
1.5 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Regional Market Share (Production), 2022 and 2030
1.6 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Market Size, 2019-2030

2. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel - Snapshot of Dynamics

2.1 Blending Limits- a key driver for SAF

3. Sustainable Aviation Fuel, PESTLE Analysis

3.1 Political Factors
3.2 Economic Factors
3.3 Social Factors
3.4 Technological Factors
3.5 Legal Factors
3.6 Environmental Factors

4. Global Sustainable Aviation: Pathways for production

4.1 Fischer-Tropsch Synthesized Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK)
4.2 Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA-SPK)
4.3 Hydroprocessed Fermented Sugars to Synthetic Isoparaffins (HFS-SIP)
4.4 Fischer-Tropsch Synthesized Paraffinic Kerosene with Aromatics (FT-SPK/A)
4.5 Alcohol-to-Jet Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (ATJ-SPK)
4.6 Catalytic Hydrothermolysis Jet (CHJ)
4.7 Hydrocarbon-Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HCHEFA-SPK)
4.8 Co-processing
4.9 Power to Liquid (PtL)

5. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis

5.1 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, By Offtake Agreements
5.2 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, Supply to Airports
5.3 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, By Capacity Addition

6. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Net Zero Emission Commitment, by Airlines7. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Book and Claim Process

8. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, Policies and Framework

8.1 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Key Legislation in USA, EU

9. Company Profiles

9.2 Valero Energy Corporation
9.3 World Energy
9.4 Darling Ingredients Inc.
9.5 Fulcrum Bioenergy
9.6 Renewable Energy Group
9.7 Aemetis Inc.
9.8 Gevo Inc.
9.9 Lanzatech
9.10 Red Rock Biofuels

10. Conclusion and further research areas underway

10.1 Additional research and coverage by the publisher

11. Annexures

11.1 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, Supply to Airports
11.2 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, Offtake Agreement
11.3 Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, Plant Details
11.4 Abbreviations
11.5 Definitions
11.6 Methodology

12. About the Publisher

List of Figures

Figure 1: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Production (In Million Litres), 2019-2022
Figure 2: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production, (In Million Litres), 2022-2030
Figure 3: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Regional Market Share, 2022
Figure 4: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Regional Market Share, 2030
Figure 5: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Market Size (In US$ Million), 2019-2030
Figure 6: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, By Offtake Agreements
Figure 7: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, By Capacity Addition, 2023-2030

List of Tables

Table 1: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Production (In Million Litres), 2019-2022
Table 2: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production, (In Million Litres), 2022-2030
Table 3: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Market Size (In US$ Million), 2019-2022
Table 4: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Market Size (In US$ Million), 2022-2030
Table 5: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, by Pathways and Feedstock
Table 6: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, By Offtake Agreements
Table 7: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, By Capacity Addition, 2023-2030
Table 8: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, By Capacity Addition, Region-Wise, 2023-2030 (In Million Litres)
Table 9: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, By Number of Plants, Region and Year Wise, 2023-2030
Table 10: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Net Zero Emission Commitment, By Airlines
Table 11: Neste Oyj, Company Details
Table 12: Neste Oyj, Operational Details
Table 13: Valero Energy Corporation, Company Details
Table 14: Valero Energy Corporation, Operational Details
Table 15: World Energy Company Details
Table 16: World Energy Operational Details
Table 17: Darling Ingredients Inc., Company Details
Table 18: Darling Ingredients Inc., Operational Details
Table 19: Fulcrum Bioenergy, Company Details
Table 20: Fulcrum Bioenergy, Operational Details
Table 21: Renewable Energy Group, Company Details
Table 22: Renewable Energy Group, Operational Details
Table 23: Aemetis Inc., Company Details
Table 24: Aemetis Inc., Operational Details
Table 25: Gevo Inc., Company Details
Table 26: Gevo Inc., Operational Details
Table 27: LanzaTech, Company Details
Table 28: LanzaTech, Operational Details
Table 29: Red Rock Biofuels, Company Details
Table 30: Red Rock Biofuels, Operational Details
Table 31: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, Supply to Airports
Table 32: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, Offtake Agreement
Table 33: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis, Plant Details

Companies Mentioned

Aemetis Inc.
Darling Ingredients Inc.
Fulcrum Bioenergy
Gevo Inc.
Lanzatech
Red Rock Biofuels
Renewable Energy Group
Valero Energy Corporation
World Energy

Table of Contents

Companies Mentioned

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