+353-1-416-8900REST OF WORLD
+44-20-3973-8888REST OF WORLD
1-917-300-0470EAST COAST U.S
1-800-526-8630U.S. (TOLL FREE)

North American Class 1-3 Transmissions Replacement Aftermarket Growth Opportunities

  • Report

  • 97 Pages
  • November 2023
  • Region: North America
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • ID: 5917582

Automatic and Continuous Variable Transmissions Present the Strongest Future Growth Potential

This study covers the class 1-3 transmission replacement aftermarket in North America and forecasts market size from 2023 to 2030. The study analyzes passenger and light-duty vehicle transmission replacement trends in the aftermarket and examines the new, used, rebuilt, and remanufactured product segments.

Market forecasts are derived from miles driven, usage patterns, replacement rates, new vehicle sales, and total vehicles in operation (VIO). A breakdown of the transmission replacement aftermarket by unit shipment, revenue, distribution channel, and price is also provided. In addition, the study looks at the competitive environment and the market share of the top participants, offering key supplier profiles. It analyzes the factors driving and restraining growth in this market and identifies the opportunities in this space for market players and stakeholders to leverage. The base year is 2022, and the study period is from 2020 to 2030.

Traditional manual transmissions will see a decline during the forecast period in favor of automatic and continuously variable transmissions, which offer enhanced performance and drivability. Competitors in the transmission aftermarket are expected to shift focus from manuals to automatics over the forecast period. Furthermore, electric vehicles are expected to have a moderate impact on the transmission replacement aftermarket over this period as the supply of traditional transmissions in operation remains high.

Key Issues Addressed

  • What is the replacement rate for new, used, remanufactured, and rebuilt transmissions for the class 1-3 vehicle segment?
  • What is the market and revenue size for the transmission replacement aftermarket?
  • What is the future outlook for this space? What are the pricing trends of the transmission replacement market over the forecast period?
  • What are the market trends and challenges for the transmission replacement market?
  • What are the current and future strategies that will foster growth for participants in the class 1-3 vehicle transmission replacement aftermarket?

Table of Contents

1. Strategic Imperatives
  • Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
  • The Strategic Imperative 8
  • The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Class 1-3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket
  • Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine
2. Research Scope
  • Scope of Analysis
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer
  • Product Segmentation and Definitions
  • Key Competitors
3. Demand Analysis - Class 1-3 Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket
  • VIO Forecast
  • VIO Transmission Share
  • Growth Drivers
  • Growth Restraints
  • Class 1-3 EV Unit Sales Forecast
  • Class 1-3 EVs in Operation orecast
  • CASE Impact on the Class 1-3 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket
  • Summary of Market Trends by Transmission and Replacement Type
4. Class 1-3 Transmission Aftermarket Forecast
  • Key Takeaways
  • Growth Metrics
  • Forecast Assumptions
  • Total Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
  • Total Market Unit Shipment Forecast by Type
  • Total Market Revenue Forecast by Type
  • Total Market Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type
  • Total Market Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
5. Class 1-3 Automatic Transmission Aftermarket Forecast
  • Growth Metrics
  • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
  • Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type
  • Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
  • Pricing Analysis Forecast
6. Class 1-3 Continuous Variable Transmission Aftermarket Forecast
  • Growth Metrics
  • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
  • Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type
  • Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
  • Pricing Analysis Forecast
7. Class 1-3 Remanufactured Torque Converters Aftermarket Forecast
  • Growth Metrics
  • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
  • Pricing Analysis Forecast
8. Class 1-3 Dual Clutch Transmission Aftermarket Forecast
  • Growth Metrics
  • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
  • Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type
  • Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
  • Pricing Analysis Forecast
9. Class 1-3 Manual Transmission Aftermarket Forecast
  • Growth Metrics
  • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
  • Unit Shipment Forecast by Replacement Type
  • Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
  • Pricing Analysis Forecast
10. Competitive Environment and Distribution
  • Remanufactured Competitive Environment
  • Transmission Aftermarket Competitor Benchmark
  • Remanufactured Transmission Brand Analysis - Retailers and WDs
  • Distribution Analysis by Channel Type
  • Remanufactured Transmission Market Share
  • Remanufactured Torque Converter Market Share
11. Supplier Profiles
  • Supplier Profile - AWTEC
  • Supplier Profile - ATR
  • Supplier Profile - ATC Drivetrain
  • Supplier Profile - Certified Transmission
  • Supplier Profile - ETE Reman
  • Supplier Profile - Jasper Engine and Transmission
  • Supplier Profile - Dynamic Manufacturing Inc.
  • Supplier Profile - Moveras
  • Supplier Profile - Transtar
  • Supplier Profile - LKQ Corporation
12. Growth Opportunity Universe
  • Growth Opportunity 1 - Connectivity
  • Growth Opportunity 2 - Electrification
  • Growth Opportunity 3 - Remanufacturing
13. The Last Word
  • The Last Word - 3 Big Predictions
14. Next Steps
  • Your Next Steps
  • Why Now?
  • List of Exhibits
  • Legal Disclaimer

Companies Mentioned (Partial List)

A selection of companies mentioned in this report includes, but is not limited to:

  • ATC Drivetrain
  • ATR
  • AWTEC
  • Certified Transmission
  • Dynamic Manufacturing Inc.
  • ETE Reman
  • Jasper Engine and Transmission
  • LKQ Corporation
  • Moveras
  • Transtar