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Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) Epidemiology Forecast 2025-2034

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    Report

  • 150 Pages
  • May 2025
  • Region: Global
  • Expert Market Research
  • ID: 6092343
The Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) reports that, in 2023, approximately 39.9 million individuals globally were living with HIV, the virus responsible for causing AIDS. Of these, 38.6 million were adults and 1.4 million were children, with women and girls comprising 53% of the total affected population.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) Epidemiology Forecast Report Coverage

The Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) Epidemiology Forecast Report 2025-2034 delivers a comprehensive analysis of the condition’s prevalence and associated demographic factors. It projects future incidence and prevalence trends across diverse population groups, considering key variables such as age, gender, and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) type. The report highlights changes in prevalence over time and offers data-driven forecasts based on influencing factors. Additionally, it provides an in-depth overview of the disease, along with historical and projected epidemiological data for eight key markets:

The United States, United Kingdom, France, Italy, Spain, Germany, Japan, and India.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS):

Disease Overview

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) is the final stage of infection caused by the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV). It occurs when the immune system is severely damaged, making the body highly vulnerable to opportunistic infections and certain cancers. Individuals with AIDS experience a significant decline in CD4 cells, which are crucial for immune defense. Common symptoms include chronic fatigue, weight loss, frequent infections, and swollen lymph nodes. Without treatment, AIDS can be fatal. However, with early diagnosis and antiretroviral therapy, individuals can manage the disease and lead longer, healthier lives.

Epidemiology Overview

The epidemiology section of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) provides insights into the patient population, both historically and currently, along with projected trends across eight major markets. The Research analyzes a range of studies to provide both present and future trends for AIDS. The report also examines diagnosed cases, breaking them down into categories such as gender and age groups.
  • HIV/AIDS remains one of the most fatal infectious diseases globally, causing nearly 1 million deaths annually. In some countries, it is the leading cause of death.
  • By 2023, approximately 39.9 million individuals were living with HIV worldwide, with 38.6 million adults aged 15 and above, and 1.4 million children aged 0-14. Women and girls made up 53% of the total population with HIV.
  • In the same year, 86% of people living with HIV globally were aware of their status, but 5.4 million individuals remained unaware and still required HIV testing.
  • From 2018 to 2022, new HIV infections decreased by 12%, from 36,200 to 31,800, with a notable 30% decline in new infections among individuals aged 13-24. This drop is attributed to increased use of pre-exposure prophylaxis, viral suppression, and HIV testing.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS):

Treatment Overview

AIDS, caused by HIV, is managed primarily through antiretroviral therapy (ART), which involves a combination of medications to suppress the virus and prevent progression to AIDS. These treatments help people with HIV lead healthy lives and reduce the risk of transmitting the virus to others. Below are 4-5 key treatments for managing HIV/AIDS:

1. Antiretroviral Therapy (ART)

Antiretroviral therapy is the cornerstone of HIV/AIDS treatment. It involves a combination of medications that inhibit the virus’s ability to replicate in the body. ART helps reduce viral load to undetectable levels, which significantly decreases the risk of disease progression and transmission to others. People on ART can live longer, healthier lives, maintaining their immune function and quality of life.

2. Pre-exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP)

Pre-exposure prophylaxis is a preventive treatment for individuals at high risk of HIV infection. It involves taking a daily pill containing two HIV medications. When taken consistently, PrEP can reduce the risk of HIV infection by up to 99%. It is commonly prescribed to individuals who have an HIV-positive partner or are at risk due to factors like injecting drugs or engaging in unprotected sex.

3. Post-exposure Prophylaxis (PEP)

Post-exposure prophylaxis is a short-term treatment that can prevent HIV infection if started within 72 hours after potential exposure to the virus. The treatment consists of a combination of antiretroviral medications, which must be taken for 28 days. PEP is commonly used after sexual assault or potential occupational exposure (e.g., needle-stick injuries).

4. Viral Load Monitoring

Regular monitoring of viral load (the amount of HIV in the blood) is crucial for assessing the effectiveness of ART. If the viral load remains undetectable, it indicates that the treatment is working. On the other hand, an increase in viral load may signal treatment failure or drug resistance, prompting adjustments in the medication regimen.

5. Opportunistic Infection Prevention and Treatment

People with AIDS are susceptible to opportunistic infections (OIs) due to weakened immune systems. Preventive treatments, such as vaccines, antimicrobials, and antifungals, are essential to protect against infections like pneumonia and tuberculosis. If an opportunistic infection occurs, it is treated with specific medications tailored to the infection, helping to maintain the person's overall health.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS):

Burden Analysis

Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), caused by human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), significantly impacts quality of life due to its physical, emotional, and social consequences. Individuals living with AIDS often experience chronic illness, frequent hospital visits, and susceptibility to infections. The constant need for antiretroviral therapy (ART) and regular monitoring can disrupt daily life. Furthermore, the stigma associated with HIV/AIDS may lead to psychological distress, social isolation, and discrimination. The emotional burden, coupled with the physical challenges of managing the disease, greatly reduces overall life satisfaction and long-term well-being for affected individuals.

Key Epidemiology Trends

The latest epidemiological trends for acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) are shaped by various factors, including medical advancements, socioeconomic conditions, and cultural attitudes toward HIV testing and treatment. These trends highlight the evolving nature of the epidemic globally and offer insights into the challenges and progress in managing the disease. Below are five important epidemiological trends:

1. Improved Access to Treatment

Access to antiretroviral therapy (ART) has improved significantly over the past few decades, leading to better management of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). Advances in ART have enabled people living with the disease to lead longer and healthier lives. The increasing availability of ART in low- and middle-income countries has contributed to a global decrease in the number of AIDS-related deaths. However, disparities remain, with certain regions experiencing challenges in accessing these life-saving drugs due to political, economic, and infrastructural barriers.

2. Declining HIV-Related Mortality

With the widespread use of ART, acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) related mortality rates have significantly decreased in many countries. This trend is particularly noticeable in high-income countries, where early diagnosis and treatment are accessible to the majority of the population. The decline in mortality is attributed to early intervention with ART, better healthcare infrastructure, and awareness campaigns. Despite these improvements, HIV-related deaths continue to be a major concern in regions with limited healthcare resources, particularly sub-Saharan Africa, where the burden of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) remains high.

3. Increased Awareness and Testing

Global awareness about HIV and AIDS has risen significantly, with increased emphasis on early diagnosis and testing. The use of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) has become more widespread, particularly in high-risk populations such as men who have sex with men, intravenous drug users, and sex workers. Additionally, many countries have launched national campaigns aimed at reducing the stigma surrounding HIV testing and encouraging individuals to get tested regularly. The trend toward regular screening has helped identify cases earlier, which in turn improves the prognosis for those diagnosed with the virus.

4. Regional Variations in Prevalence

The epidemiology of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) continues to vary significantly by region. Sub-Saharan Africa remains the epicentre of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, with the highest prevalence rates, particularly among young women. In contrast, high-income countries have made significant progress in reducing new HIV infections and deaths, though the epidemic still disproportionately affects marginalized groups such as migrant populations and individuals with lower access to healthcare. Regional differences in prevalence rates are influenced by a combination of factors, including healthcare infrastructure, prevention programs, social stigma, and cultural practices.

5. Rise in New HIV Infections in Certain Demographics

While the overall global number of new HIV infections has decreased, certain demographics are still at a higher risk of acquiring HIV. Young people, particularly those aged 15-24, remain a high-risk group for new HIV infections, especially in regions where access to sexual health education and preventive measures is limited. Additionally, there has been an increase in new infections in women, particularly in parts of Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. The rise in infections is linked to factors such as lack of awareness, social stigma, and limited access to prevention methods like condoms and ART.

Analysis By Region

The epidemiology of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) varies across countries and regions due to differences in healthcare infrastructure, socioeconomic factors, cultural attitudes towards pain, and access to pain management therapies. Understanding these variations is essential for developing targeted interventions and improving patient outcomes.

Key regions include:

  • The United States
  • Germany
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • The United Kingdom
  • Japan
  • India
These regions exhibit distinct epidemiological trends, reflecting the unique challenges and opportunities within their healthcare systems.

The epidemiology of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) differs across countries due to variations in HIV prevention initiatives, awareness levels, socioeconomic conditions, and access to treatment and testing services, among other factors. In The United States, approximately 1.2 million people are living with HIV, with nearly 13% of them unaware of their HIV status.

Key Questions Answered

  • How do social determinants of health, such as income and education, impact the prevalence and outcomes of chronic diseases across different populations?
  • What is the relationship between environmental factors (e.g., air quality, water contamination) and the rising incidence of respiratory illnesses in urban areas?
  • How do healthcare access and early diagnosis influence the survival rates of patients with rare diseases?
  • What role does genetic predisposition play in the epidemiology of autoimmune diseases, and how can personalized medicine help in treatment strategies?
  • How can epidemiologists accurately predict disease outbreaks in regions with limited healthcare infrastructure?
  • What are the key epidemiological factors contributing to the resurgence of vaccine-preventable diseases in developed countries?
  • How does migration and population movement contribute to the spread of infectious diseases, particularly in areas with poor healthcare systems?
  • What is the impact of mental health disorders on the epidemiology of non-communicable diseases, such as heart disease and diabetes?
  • How do socioeconomic factors, such as housing and nutrition, influence the prevalence of childhood obesity?
  • What epidemiological methods are most effective for studying emerging infectious diseases in remote or underserved regions?

Scope of the Report

  • The report covers a detailed analysis of signs and symptoms, causes, risk factors, pathophysiology, diagnosis, treatment options, and classification/types of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) based on several factors.
  • The acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) epidemiology forecast report covers data for the eight major markets (the US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the UK, Japan, and India)
  • The report helps to identify the patient population, the unmet needs of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) are highlighted along with an assessment of the disease's risk and burden.

Table of Contents

1 Preface
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Objectives of the Study
1.3 Research Methodology and Assumptions
2 Executive Summary
3 Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) Market Overview - 8 MM
3.1 Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) Market Historical Value (2018-2024)
3.2 Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) Market Forecast Value (2025-2034)
4 Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) Epidemiology Overview - 8 MM
4.1 Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) Epidemiology Scenario (2018-2024)
4.2 Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) Epidemiology Forecast (2025-2034)
5 Disease Overview
5.1 Signs and Symptoms
5.2 Causes
5.3 Risk Factors
5.4 Guidelines and Stages
5.5 Pathophysiology
5.6 Screening and Diagnosis
6 Patient Profile
6.1 Patient Profile Overview
6.2 Patient Psychology and Emotional Impact Factors
7 Epidemiology Scenario and Forecast - 8 MM (218-2034)
7.1 Key Findings
7.2 Assumptions and Rationale
7.3 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS)
7.4 Gender-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS)
7.5 Age-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS)
8 Epidemiology Scenario and Forecast: United States (218-2034)
8.1 Assumptions and Rationale in The United States
8.2 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in The United States
8.3 Gender-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in The United States
8.4 Age-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in The United States
9 Epidemiology Scenario and Forecast: United Kingdom (218-2034)
9.1 Assumptions and Rationale in the United Kingdom
9.2 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in the United Kingdom
9.3 Gender-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in the United Kingdom
9.4 Age-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in the United Kingdom
10 Epidemiology Scenario and Forecast: Germany (218-2034)
10.1 Assumptions and Rationale in Germany
10.2 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Germany
10.3 Gender-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Germany
10.4 Age-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Germany
11 Epidemiology Scenario and Forecast: France (218-2034)
11.1 Assumptions and Rationale in France
11.2 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in France
11.3 Gender-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in France
11.4 Age-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in France
12 Epidemiology Scenario and Forecast: Italy (218-2034)
12.1 Assumptions and Rationale in Italy
12.2 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Italy
12.3 Gender-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Italy
12.4 Age-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Italy
13 Epidemiology Scenario and Forecast: Spain (218-2034)
13.1 Assumptions and Rationale in Spain
13.2 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Spain
13.3 Gender-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Spain
13.4 Age-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Spain
14 Epidemiology Scenario and Forecast: Japan (218-2034)
14.1 Assumptions and Rationale in Japan
14.2 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Japan
14.3 Gender-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Japan
14.4 Age-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Japan
15 Epidemiology Scenario and Forecast: India (218-2034)
15.1 Assumptions and Rationale in India
15.2 Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in India
15.3 Gender-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in India
15.4 Age-Specific Cases of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in India
16 Patient Journey17 Treatment Challenges and Unmet Needs18 Key Opinion Leaders (KOL) Insights

Methodology

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