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Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market Report and Forecast 2025-2034

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    Report

  • 160 Pages
  • August 2025
  • Region: Global
  • Expert Market Research
  • ID: 6172523
The global semi-autonomous and autonomous bus market is expected to grow in the forecast period of 2025-2034 at a CAGR of 24.00%.

The Asia-Pacific Accounts for a Significant Market Share with the Increased Adoption of ADAS Technology

The demand for semi-autonomous and autonomous buses in the Asia-Pacific region has increased, owing to the rising road safety concerns. Countries like China, Japan, and South Korea possess advanced know-how in the autonomous segment and have the technological and production capabilities, which is anticipated to make an incremental growth in the sector.

Despite a dip in the production quantity due to COVID-19 restrictions, China accounted for a considerable share of the global automobile sales in 2020. As the home of several leading market players such as Toyota, Honda, Nissan, and others, Japan's success in developing autonomous vehicles has piqued international interest. In addition, LiDAR technology providers from around the world have been proactively forming partnerships with Japanese OEMs as well. These factors are projected to aid the market growth in the forecast period.

Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus: Market Segmentation

Autonomous buses are vehicles that are capable of recognising their surroundings and driving safely with little to no human intervention. Semi-autonomous buses require little human intervention and use advanced driver assistance technologies like ACC, LKA, IPA, and AFL to lessen the amount of effort required to manoeuvre the vehicle. These require the drivers to keep their hands on the steering wheel at all times.

By propulsion type, the market can be classified into:

  • Diesel
  • Electric
  • Hybrid

On the basis of application, the market can be bifurcated into:

  • Shuttle
  • Intercity/Intracity

The market can be broadly categorised, on the basis of ADAS feature, into:

  • Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC)
  • Automatic Emergency Braking (AEB)
  • Blind Spot Detection (BSD)
  • Intelligent Park Assist (IPA)
  • Lane Keep Assist (LKA)
  • Traffic Jam Assist (TJA)
  • Highway Pilot (HP)

On the basis of level of automation, the market can be segmented into:

  • Level 1
  • Level 2 and 3
  • Level 4
  • Level 5

On the basis of sensor type, the market can be segregated into:

  • Camera
  • Radar
  • Lidar
  • Ultrasonic

Breakup by Region

  • North America
  • Europe
  • Asia-Pacific
  • Latin America
  • Middle East and Africa
Growing Demand for Safe and Efficient Public Transportation Systems to Propel the Global Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Industry

The rising incidences of road accidents are accentuating the road safety concerns of administration and consumers alike. According to reports, roughly 150 thousand people died or were injured in traffic accidents in Indonesia in 2019. Laos, on the other hand, experienced 1.52 thousand traffic fatalities in 2019. Semi-autonomous and autonomous vehicles can help reduce the mortality risks associated with road accidents. Moreover, the need for more efficient operations in bus transport system has also increased the demand for the market. For example, China is undertaking studies to measure the efficiency of the current public transportation system, in an endeavour to further develop the system to reduce pollution and provide better safety and more efficient travel experience with lesser travel time. Additionally, the increasing adoption of ADAS technology is also anticipated to be a major factor driving the market forward. With increasing IT talent pool globally, the development and integration with the existing system is expected to be much faster. For example, India has a huge talent pool of IT sector. The heavy use of public transport also demands government investments.

Key Industry Players in the Global Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market

The report presents a detailed analysis of the following key players in the global semi-autonomous and autonomous bus market, looking into their capacity, market shares, and latest developments like capacity expansions, plant turnarounds, and mergers and acquisitions:
  • AB Volvo
  • Robert Bosch GmbH
  • Dailmer AG
  • Denso Corporation
  • Local Motors (LM Industries)
  • Others
The comprehensive report looks into the macro and micro aspects of the industry. The report gives an in-depth insight into the market by providing a SWOT analysis as well as an analysis of Porter’s Five Forces model.

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary
1.1 Market Size 2024-2025
1.2 Market Growth 2025(F)-2034(F)
1.3 Key Demand Drivers
1.4 Key Players and Competitive Structure
1.5 Industry Best Practices
1.6 Recent Trends and Developments
1.7 Industry Outlook
2 Market Overview and Stakeholder Insights
2.1 Market Trends
2.2 Key Verticals
2.3 Key Regions
2.4 Supplier Power
2.5 Buyer Power
2.6 Key Market Opportunities and Risks
2.7 Key Initiatives by Stakeholders
3 Economic Summary
3.1 GDP Outlook
3.2 GDP Per Capita Growth
3.3 Inflation Trends
3.4 Democracy Index
3.5 Gross Public Debt Ratios
3.6 Balance of Payment (BoP) Position
3.7 Population Outlook
3.8 Urbanisation Trends
4 Country Risk Profiles
4.1 Country Risk
4.2 Business Climate
5 Global Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market Analysis
5.1 Key Industry Highlights
5.2 Global Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Historical Market (2018-2024)
5.3 Global Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market Forecast (2025-2034)
5.4 Global Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market by Propulsion Type
5.4.1 Diesel
5.4.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.4.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.4.2 Electric
5.4.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.4.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.4.3 Hybrid
5.4.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.4.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.5 Global Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market by Application
5.5.1 Shuttle
5.5.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.5.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.5.2 Intercity/Intracity
5.5.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.5.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.6 Global Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market by ADAS Feature
5.6.1 Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC)
5.6.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.6.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.6.2 Automatic Emergency Braking (AEB)
5.6.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.6.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.6.3 Blind Spot Detection (BSD)
5.6.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.6.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.6.4 Intelligent Park Assist (IPA)
5.6.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.6.4.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.6.5 Lane Keep Assist (LKA)
5.6.5.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.6.5.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.6.6 Traffic Jam Assist (TJA)
5.6.6.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.6.6.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.6.7 Highway Pilot (HP)
5.6.7.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.6.7.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.7 Global Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market by Level of Automation
5.7.1 Level 1
5.7.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.7.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.7.2 Level 2 and 3
5.7.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.7.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.7.3 Level 4
5.7.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.7.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.7.4 Level 5
5.7.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.7.4.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.8 Global Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market by Sensor Type
5.8.1 Camera
5.8.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.8.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.8.2 Radar
5.8.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.8.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.8.3 Lidar
5.8.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.8.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.8.4 Ultrasonic
5.8.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.8.4.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.9 Global Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market by Region
5.9.1 North America
5.9.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.9.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.9.2 Europe
5.9.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.9.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.9.3 Asia-Pacific
5.9.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.9.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.9.4 Latin America
5.9.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.9.4.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
5.9.5 Middle East and Africa
5.9.5.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
5.9.5.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
6 North America Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market Analysis
6.1 United States of America
6.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
6.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
6.2 Canada
6.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
6.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7 Europe Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market Analysis
7.1 United Kingdom
7.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.2 Germany
7.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.3 France
7.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.4 Italy
7.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
7.4.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
7.5 Others
8 Asia-Pacific Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market Analysis
8.1 China
8.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.2 Japan
8.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.3 India
8.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.4 ASEAN
8.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.4.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.5 Australia
8.5.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
8.5.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
8.6 Others
9 Latin America Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market Analysis
9.1 Brazil
9.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
9.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
9.2 Argentina
9.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
9.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
9.3 Mexico
9.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
9.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
9.4 Others
10 Middle East and Africa Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus Market Analysis
10.1 Saudi Arabia
10.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
10.1.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
10.2 United Arab Emirates
10.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
10.2.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
10.3 Nigeria
10.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
10.3.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
10.4 South Africa
10.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2024)
10.4.2 Forecast Trend (2025-2034)
10.5 Others
11 Market Dynamics
11.1 SWOT Analysis
11.1.1 Strengths
11.1.2 Weaknesses
11.1.3 Opportunities
11.1.4 Threats
11.2 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
11.2.1 Supplier’s Power
11.2.2 Buyer’s Power
11.2.3 Threat of New Entrants
11.2.4 Degree of Rivalry
11.2.5 Threat of Substitutes
11.3 Key Indicators for Demand
11.4 Key Indicators for Price
12 Value Chain Analysis
13 Competitive Landscape
13.1 Supplier Selection
13.2 Key Global Players
13.3 Key Regional Players
13.4 Key Player Strategies
13.5 Company Profiles
13.5.1 AB Volvo
13.5.1.1 Company Overview
13.5.1.2 Product Portfolio
13.5.1.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
13.5.1.4 Certifications
13.5.2 Robert Bosch GmbH
13.5.2.1 Company Overview
13.5.2.2 Product Portfolio
13.5.2.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
13.5.2.4 Certifications
13.5.3 Daimler AG
13.5.3.1 Company Overview
13.5.3.2 Product Portfolio
13.5.3.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
13.5.3.4 Certifications
13.5.4 Denso Corporation
13.5.4.1 Company Overview
13.5.4.2 Product Portfolio
13.5.4.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
13.5.4.4 Certifications
13.5.5 Local Motors (LM Industries)
13.5.5.1 Company Overview
13.5.5.2 Product Portfolio
13.5.5.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
13.5.5.4 Certifications
13.5.6 Others

Companies Mentioned

The key companies featured in this Semi-Autonomous and Autonomous Bus market report include:
  • AB Volvo
  • Robert Bosch GmbH
  • Daimler AG
  • Denso Corporation
  • Local Motors (LM Industries)